评测智能体在超长任务中的持续推理与规划能力,发现当前模型仍远不如人类。
UltraHorizon: Benchmarking Agent Capabilities in Ultra Long-Horizon Scenarios
- 用探索任务统一测试智能体在超长序列中的推理、记忆与工具使用能力。
- 最长任务轨迹超20万词元,平均400次工具调用,远超传统基准。
- 揭示智能体在长期任务中易陷入思维僵化,适合研究长时序决策的学者。
自主智能体在多个领域取得显著进展,但现有评估多聚焦于短周期、完全可观测的任务。而现实世界中的关键任务,如大规模软件开发、商业投资和科学发现,通常具有超长周期和部分可观测性,成功依赖持续推理、规划、记忆管理与工具使用。现有基准极少涵盖此类挑战,导致评估体系存在空白。为此,我们提出全新基准 UltraHorizon,用于衡量应对复杂现实挑战所需的核心能力。通过三个不同环境中的探索任务,验证智能体在长期发现任务中的表现:需通过持续推理、规划、记忆管理与工具交互逐步揭示隐藏规则。最重负载设置下,轨迹平均超过20万词元,工具调用达400+次;标准配置下仍超过3.5万词元,平均工具调用超60次。大量实验表明,大语言模型驱动的智能体在此类任务中持续表现不佳,而人类参与者得分更高,凸显智能体在长周期任务中能力的明显差距。我们还发现单纯扩展规模无法解决该问题。通过对轨迹的深入分析,识别出八类错误,并归因于两种根本原因:上下文锁定与功能性基础能力缺失。代码将公开。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Autonomous agents have recently achieved remarkable progress across diverse domains, yet most evaluations focus on short-horizon, fully observable tasks. In contrast, many critical real-world tasks, such as large-scale software development, commercial investment, and scientific discovery, unfold in long-horizon and partially observable scenarios where success hinges on sustained reasoning, planning, memory management, and tool use. Existing benchmarks rarely capture these long-horizon challenges, leaving a gap in systematic evaluation. To bridge this gap, we introduce \textbf{UltraHorizon} a novel benchmark that measures the foundational capabilities essential for complex real-world challenges. We use exploration as a unifying task across three distinct environments to validate these core competencies. Agents are designed in long-horizon discovery tasks where they must iteratively uncover hidden rules through sustained reasoning, planning, memory and tools management, and interaction with environments. Under the heaviest scale setting, trajectories average \textbf{200k+} tokens and \textbf{400+} tool calls, whereas in standard configurations they still exceed \textbf{35k} tokens and involve more than \textbf{60} tool calls on average. Our extensive experiments reveal that LLM-agents consistently underperform in these settings, whereas human participants achieve higher scores, underscoring a persistent gap in agents' long-horizon abilities. We also observe that simple scaling fails in our task. To better illustrate the failure of agents, we conduct an in-depth analysis of collected trajectories. We identify eight types of errors and attribute them to two primary causes: in-context locking and functional fundamental capability gaps. \href{https://github.com/StarDewXXX/UltraHorizon}{Our code will be available here.}
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