用调查数据和模型揭示长期压力如何通过抑制免疫直接增加癌症风险
Chronic Stress, Immune Suppression, and Cancer Occurrence: Unveiling the Connection using Survey Data and Predictive Models
- 结合自评压力、癌症史与人口数据,构建预测模型
- 压力频率、强度与健康影响显著关联癌症发病率
- 整合家庭史可大幅提升预测准确率,适合预防研究者参考
长期压力与癌症发生相关,但因果关系尚未明确。本研究利用机器学习与因果建模,分析来自自评问卷的压力指标、癌症史及人口统计学数据,揭示了长期压力与癌症发生之间的直接关联及其通过免疫抑制介导的作用路径。传统统计方法验证了模型结果。研究发现,压力频率、压力水平及感知健康影响均与癌症发病率存在显著因果关联。尽管压力单独预测能力有限,但融合社会人口特征与家族癌症史后,模型准确性显著提升。结果表明癌症风险具有多维性,压力是除遗传外的重要可调节因素。研究支持将慢性压力管理纳入个性化预防策略与公共健康干预,以降低癌症发生率。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Chronic stress was implicated in cancer occurrence, but a direct causal connection has not been consistently established. Machine learning and causal modeling offer opportunities to explore complex causal interactions between psychological chronic stress and cancer occurrences. We developed predictive models employing variables from stress indicators, cancer history, and demographic data from self-reported surveys, unveiling the direct and immune suppression mitigated connection between chronic stress and cancer occurrence. The models were corroborated by traditional statistical methods. Our findings indicated significant causal correlations between stress frequency, stress level and perceived health impact, and cancer incidence. Although stress alone showed limited predictive power, integrating socio-demographic and familial cancer history data significantly enhanced model accuracy. These results highlight the multidimensional nature of cancer risk, with stress emerging as a notable factor alongside genetic predisposition. These findings strengthen the case for addressing chronic stress as a modifiable cancer risk factor, supporting its integration into personalized prevention strategies and public health interventions to reduce cancer incidence.
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