用新模型从天文数据推断宇宙参数,还能给出不确定度。
Inferring Cosmological Parameters with Evidential Physics-Informed Neural Networks
- 结合物理规律与证据深度学习,直接学后验分布。
- 在潘多斯+和BAO数据上,参数后验重合度超2σ。
- 适合研究哈勃张力的天体物理与机器学习研究者。
我们研究了一种新型物理信息神经网络在从最新超新星与重子声学振荡(BAO)数据集中推断宇宙学参数中的应用。该机器学习框架能对目标变量及隐含偏微分方程参数生成不确定性估计。模型融合了证据深度学习、物理信息神经网络、贝叶斯神经网络与高斯过程的思想,通过标准梯度下降训练即可学习未知偏微分方程参数的后验分布。我们将模型应用于最新的BAO数据集(Bousis et al. 2024),该数据集以宇宙微波背景辐射推导的声学视界校准,并结合潘多斯+ Ia型超新星距离数据(Scolnic et al. 2018),评估标准ΛCDM、wCDM与Λ_sCDM模型的相对有效性与一致性。与以往最小化χ²函数的标准方法不同,仅使用潘多斯+数据训练的各模型参数后验分布,基本包含于以BAO数据训练结果的2σ范围内。其后验中值在$ h_0 $上的差异也在约2σ之内,表明该机器学习引导的方法为哈勃张力提供了新的衡量视角。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We examine the use of a novel variant of Physics-Informed Neural Networks to predict cosmological parameters from recent supernovae and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) datasets. Our machine learning framework generates uncertainty estimates for target variables and the inferred unknown parameters of the underlying PDE descriptions. Built upon a hybrid of the principles of Evidential Deep Learning, Physics-Informed Neural Networks, Bayesian Neural Networks and Gaussian Processes, our model enables learning of the posterior distribution of the unknown PDE parameters through standard gradient-descent based training. We apply our model to an up-to-date BAO dataset (Bousis et al. 2024) calibrated with the CMB-inferred sound horizon, and the Pantheon$+$ Sne Ia distances (Scolnic et al. 2018), examining the relative effectiveness and mutual consistency among the standard $Λ$CDM, $w$CDM and $Λ_s$CDM models. Unlike previous results arising from the standard approach of minimizing an appropriate $χ^2$ function, the posterior distributions for parameters in various models trained purely on Pantheon$+$ data were found to be largely contained within the $2σ$ contours of their counterparts trained on BAO data. Their posterior medians for $h_0$ were within about $2σ$ of one another, indicating that our machine learning-guided approach provides a different measure of the Hubble tension.
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