用神经网络增强卡尔曼滤波,实现高精度交通队列长度实时估计。
Q-Net: Queue Length Estimation via Kalman-based Neural Networks
- 基于状态空间模型设计,融合地感线圈与浮动车数据。
- 在鹿特丹实测中误差低于基线方法,准确追踪队列生成与消散。
- 无需摄像头雷达,适合城市道路快速部署。
在信号交叉口估计队列长度是交通管理中的长期挑战。尽管存在两种隐私保护数据源——(i)近停止线的地感线圈汇总车辆数,以及(ii)提供路段平均速度的聚合浮动车数据(aFCD),但如何整合两者在时空分辨率上差异显著的数据仍不明确。为此,本文提出Q-Net:一种基于状态空间建模的队列估计框架。该设计解决了交通守恒假设失效等关键问题。Q-Net采用卡尔曼预测-更新结构,保持状态演化与观测模型的物理可解释性,并利用人工智能增强的卡尔曼滤波学习时变增益动态。该框架支持实时运行,通过将aFCD数据分组为固定大小局部区域,使可学习参数量与路段长度无关,提升空间可迁移性。在荷兰鹿特丹城市主干道上的评估表明,Q-Net优于基线方法,能准确跟踪队列形成与消散过程,缓解aFCD引入的延迟。结合数据效率、可解释性、实时性与空间可迁移性,Q-Net实现了无需昂贵传感设备(如摄像头或雷达)的高精度队列估计。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Estimating queue lengths at signalized intersections is a long-standing challenge in traffic management. Partial observability of vehicle flows complicates this task despite the availability of two privacy-preserving data sources: (i) aggregated vehicle counts from loop detectors near stop lines, and (ii) aggregated floating car data (aFCD) that provide segment-wise average speed measurements. However, how to integrate these sources with differing spatial and temporal resolutions for queue length estimation is rather unclear. Addressing this question, we present Q-Net: a queue estimation framework built upon a state-space formulation. This design addresses key challenges in queue modeling, such as violations of traffic conservation assumptions. Q-Net follows the Kalman predict-update structure and maintains physical interpretability in both the state evolution and measurement models. Q-Net uses an AI-augmented Kalman filter to learn time-varying gain dynamics from data. The framework supports real-time implementation and improves spatial transferability by grouping aFCD measurements into fixed-size local groups, making the number of learnable parameters independent of section length. Evaluations on urban main roads in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, show that Q-Net outperforms baseline methods, tracks queue formation and dissipation accurately, and mitigates aFCD-induced delays. By combining data efficiency, interpretability, real-time applicability, and spatial transferability, Q-Net makes accurate queue length estimation possible without costly sensing infrastructure like cameras or radar.
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