用贝叶斯变换器融合多源数据,精准生成北极海冰浓度图并量化不确定性。
Bayesian Transformer for Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Concentration Mapping and Uncertainty Estimation using Sentinel-1, RCM, and AMSR2 Data
- 设计双模块高分辨率变换器,增强海冰细微特征提取能力。
- 通过参数随机化实现不确定性建模,提升置信度估计可靠性。
- 决策层融合哨兵1号、RCM和AMSR2数据,应对多源异构挑战。
尽管高分辨率的泛北极海冰浓度(SIC)制图及其可靠不确定性评估对业务应用至关重要,但因冰面特征微弱、模型不确定性及数据异质性等关键挑战而困难重重。本文提出一种新型贝叶斯变换器方法,融合哨兵1号(Sentinel-1)、RADARSAT星座任务(RCM)和先进微波扫描辐射计2号(AMSR2)数据,实现泛北极SIC制图与不确定性量化。首先,设计具有全局与局部模块的高分辨率变换器,更有效区分海冰图案的细微差异;其次,构建该变换器的贝叶斯扩展,将参数视为随机变量,以更准确捕捉不确定性;第三,在决策层融合三类数据,提升制图与不确定性估计性能。在2021年9月泛北极数据集上的实验表明,所提方法在保持高分辨率的同时,显著优于其他不确定性量化方法,生成了鲁棒的海冰浓度与不确定性地图。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Although high-resolution mapping of Pan-Arctic sea ice with reliable corresponding uncertainty is essential for operational sea ice concentration (SIC) charting, it is a difficult task due to some key challenges, e.g., the subtle nature of ice signature features, model uncertainty, and data heterogeneity. This letter presents a novel Bayesian Transformer approach for Pan-Arctic SIC mapping and uncertainty quantification using Sentinel-1, RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM), and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) data. First, to improve feature extraction, we design a novel high-resolution Transformer model with both global and local modules that can better discern the subtle differences in sea ice patterns. Second, to improve uncertainty quantification, we design a Bayesian extension of the proposed Transformer model, treating its parameters as random variables to more effectively capture uncertainties. Third, to address data heterogeneity, we fuse three different data types (Sentinel-1, RCM, and AMSR2) at decision-level to improve both SIC mapping and uncertainty quantification. The proposed approach is tested on Pan-Arctic datasets from September 2021, and the results demonstrate that the proposed model can achieve both high-resolution SIC maps and robust uncertainty maps compared to other uncertainty quantification approaches.
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