用可视化工具诊断供热数据质量,提升AI预测准确性
A Visual Diagnostics Framework for District Heating Data: Enhancing Data Quality for AI-Driven Heat Consumption Prediction
- 构建交互式网页仪表盘,通过多种图表发现数据异常
- 在丹麦4年、近7000个计量点数据上验证有效
- 适合能源系统工程师和数据科学家用于提升预测模型可靠性
高质量数据是训练可靠人工智能模型的前提。在区域供热网络中,传感器和计量数据常存在噪声、缺失值和时间不一致问题,严重影响模型性能。本文提出一种基于视觉诊断的系统性方法,通过交互式网页仪表盘实现数据质量评估与改进。该工具利用Python可视化技术,包括时序图、热力图、箱线图、直方图、相关性矩阵及对偏度和异常检测(基于修正z-score)等敏感指标,使专家可直观识别异常,实现人机协同的数据质量评估。方法在丹麦某供热企业的实际数据集上验证,覆盖近7000个计量点、超过四年的小时级数据。结果表明,视觉分析能揭示系统性数据问题,并为未来数据清洗策略提供依据,从而提升LSTM与GRU模型在热需求预测中的准确率、稳定性与泛化能力。研究贡献了一个可扩展、通用的视觉数据检查框架,强调了数据质量在人工智能驱动能源管理系统中的关键作用。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
High-quality data is a prerequisite for training reliable Artificial Intelligence (AI) models in the energy domain. In district heating networks, sensor and metering data often suffer from noise, missing values, and temporal inconsistencies, which can significantly degrade model performance. This paper presents a systematic approach for evaluating and improving data quality using visual diagnostics, implemented through an interactive web-based dashboard. The dashboard employs Python-based visualization techniques, including time series plots, heatmaps, box plots, histograms, correlation matrices, and anomaly-sensitive KPIs such as skewness and anomaly detection based on the modified z-scores. These tools al-low human experts to inspect and interpret data anomalies, enabling a human-in-the-loop strategy for data quality assessment. The methodology is demonstrated on a real-world dataset from a Danish district heating provider, covering over four years of hourly data from nearly 7000 meters. The findings show how visual analytics can uncover systemic data issues and, in the future, guide data cleaning strategies that enhance the accuracy, stability, and generalizability of Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit models for heat demand forecasting. The study contributes to a scalable, generalizable framework for visual data inspection and underlines the critical role of data quality in AI-driven energy management systems.
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