用雷达数据精准重建降雨分布,提升洪水预报精度。
RainSeer: Fine-Grained Rainfall Reconstruction via Physics-Guided Modeling
- 将雷达回波转为物理结构先验,指导降雨重建
- 在韩法两地数据上降低13.31%误差,更清晰还原雨区结构
- 适合气象建模与灾害预警研究者使用
高分辨率降雨场重建对洪水预测、水文模拟和气候分析至关重要。然而,现有基于自动气象站(AWS)或融合卫星/雷达观测的空间插值方法常过度平滑关键结构,难以捕捉锐利边界与局部极端降水。本文提出RainSeer,一种结构感知的重建框架,将雷达反射率重新诠释为物理驱动的结构先验,反映降雨发生的时间、地点与方式。该方法面临两大挑战:(i) 将高分辨率体数据转换为稀疏点状降雨观测;(ii) 弥合高空水成物与地面降水间的物理断层。RainSeer采用物理引导的两阶段架构:结构到点映射器通过双向投影,将中尺度雷达结构对齐至地面降雨;地理感知降雨解码器利用因果时空注意力机制,捕捉水成物下落、融化与蒸发的语义演化。在韩国RAIN-F(2017–2019)与法国MeteoNet(2016–2018)两个公开数据集上评估,结果表明其优于现有最优基线,平均绝对误差(MAE)降低超13.31%,显著提升重建场的结构保真度。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Reconstructing high-resolution rainfall fields is essential for flood forecasting, hydrological modeling, and climate analysis. However, existing spatial interpolation methods-whether based on automatic weather station (AWS) measurements or enhanced with satellite/radar observations often over-smooth critical structures, failing to capture sharp transitions and localized extremes. We introduce RainSeer, a structure-aware reconstruction framework that reinterprets radar reflectivity as a physically grounded structural prior-capturing when, where, and how rain develops. This shift, however, introduces two fundamental challenges: (i) translating high-resolution volumetric radar fields into sparse point-wise rainfall observations, and (ii) bridging the physical disconnect between aloft hydro-meteors and ground-level precipitation. RainSeer addresses these through a physics-informed two-stage architecture: a Structure-to-Point Mapper performs spatial alignment by projecting mesoscale radar structures into localized ground-level rainfall, through a bidirectional mapping, and a Geo-Aware Rain Decoder captures the semantic transformation of hydro-meteors through descent, melting, and evaporation via a causal spatiotemporal attention mechanism. We evaluate RainSeer on two public datasets-RAIN-F (Korea, 2017-2019) and MeteoNet (France, 2016-2018)-and observe consistent improvements over state-of-the-art baselines, reducing MAE by over 13.31% and significantly enhancing structural fidelity in reconstructed rainfall fields.
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