arXiv:2510.03003cs.LGcs.AI2025-10

用转移学习融合高频传感器与低频报文数据,提升船舶轴功率预测精度。

From high-frequency sensors to noon reports: Using transfer learning for shaft power prediction in maritime

  • 先用高频率传感器数据训练模型,再用低频午报数据微调。
  • 对同型船预测误差降低10.6%,异型船也降5.3%。
  • 适合缺乏高密度传感器的航运公司做能效优化。

随着全球海运量增长,能源优化成为降低运营成本、提升效率的关键。轴功率是发动机传递至轴的机械功率,直接影响燃油消耗,其精准预测对船舶性能优化至关重要。功率消耗与航速、螺旋桨转速及气象海况等参数密切相关,频繁获取运行数据可提高预测准确性。然而高质量传感器数据获取困难且成本高昂,因此使用每日午报等低频数据成为可行替代。本文提出一种基于迁移学习的轴功率预测方法:先在某船的高频数据上训练模型,再利用其他船的低频午报数据进行微调。实验针对同型船(相同尺寸配置)、相似船(稍大但引擎不同)和异型船(尺寸配置迥异)进行测试。结果表明,相比仅用午报数据训练的模型,同型船平均绝对百分比误差下降10.6%,相似船下降3.6%,异型船下降5.3%。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

With the growth of global maritime transportation, energy optimization has become crucial for reducing costs and ensuring operational efficiency. Shaft power is the mechanical power transmitted from the engine to the shaft and directly impacts fuel consumption, making its accurate prediction a paramount step in optimizing vessel performance. Power consumption is highly correlated with ship parameters such as speed and shaft rotation per minute, as well as weather and sea conditions. Frequent access to this operational data can improve prediction accuracy. However, obtaining high-quality sensor data is often infeasible and costly, making alternative sources such as noon reports a viable option. In this paper, we propose a transfer learning-based approach for predicting vessels shaft power, where a model is initially trained on high-frequency data from a vessel and then fine-tuned with low-frequency daily noon reports from other vessels. We tested our approach on sister vessels (identical dimensions and configurations), a similar vessel (slightly larger with a different engine), and a different vessel (distinct dimensions and configurations). The experiments showed that the mean absolute percentage error decreased by 10.6 percent for sister vessels, 3.6 percent for a similar vessel, and 5.3 percent for a different vessel, compared to the model trained solely on noon report data.

船舶能效迁移学习预测模型

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