arXiv:2510.03776cs.ROcs.LG2025-10中稿 · ICRA被引 6

针对异构智能体轨迹预测,提出在小样本与不平衡数据下的有效方法。

Trajectory prediction for heterogeneous agents: A performance analysis on small and imbalanced datasets

  • 基于类别标签的模式匹配与深度学习结合,提升预测精度。
  • 实验表明,平衡数据下深度模型更优,小样本时模式方法更稳定。
  • 适合新环境冷启动或数据不均衡场景的机器人轨迹预测应用。

在复杂动态环境中,机器人等智能系统需预测周围异构智能体的未来行为以高效达成目标并避免碰撞。由于不同智能体的行为受任务、角色或可观测标签影响显著,基于类别的运动预测能有效降低预测不确定性,提高准确性。然而,现有研究对此关注不足,尤其在移动机器人和数据有限的应用中。本文分析了多种类别条件轨迹预测方法在两个数据集上的表现,提出了基于模式的高效深度学习基线,并在THÖR-MAGNI和Stanford Drone Dataset上进行评估。实验显示,在多数设置下加入类别标签均能提升精度。更重要的是,我们发现数据不平衡或新环境下(数据稀缺)存在显著差异:深度学习在平衡数据上表现更佳,但在小样本或类别不平衡场景中,模式方法更具优势。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Robots and other intelligent systems navigating in complex dynamic environments should predict future actions and intentions of surrounding agents to reach their goals efficiently and avoid collisions. The dynamics of those agents strongly depends on their tasks, roles, or observable labels. Class-conditioned motion prediction is thus an appealing way to reduce forecast uncertainty and get more accurate predictions for heterogeneous agents. However, this is hardly explored in the prior art, especially for mobile robots and in limited data applications. In this paper, we analyse different class-conditioned trajectory prediction methods on two datasets. We propose a set of conditional pattern-based and efficient deep learning-based baselines, and evaluate their performance on robotics and outdoors datasets (THÖR-MAGNI and Stanford Drone Dataset). Our experiments show that all methods improve accuracy in most of the settings when considering class labels. More importantly, we observe that there are significant differences when learning from imbalanced datasets, or in new environments where sufficient data is not available. In particular, we find that deep learning methods perform better on balanced datasets, but in applications with limited data, e.g., cold start of a robot in a new environment, or imbalanced classes, pattern-based methods may be preferable.

轨迹预测小样本不平衡数据机器人

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