用图增强的梯度提升树检测保险欺诈,兼顾效果与可解释性。
Inductive inference of gradient-boosted decision trees on graphs for insurance fraud detection
- 基于路径特征拼接融合异构图信息,保留原始表格特征。
- 在真实数据上性能优于或持平当前最优方法。
- 支持逐层解释,适合需要透明决策的风控场景。
图模型在机器学习中日益流行,尤其适用于保险欺诈检测——欺诈行为常由组织化团伙制造或同一人多次虚假申报。然而,欺诈数据存在严重类别不平衡,且保险图结构异构动态,导致现有图方法难以提取有效表征,使基于表格的梯度提升树仍占主导。为此,我们提出一种新型归纳式图梯度提升机(G-GBM),结合梯度提升对类别不平衡的鲁棒性与通过可解释路径特征拼接编码的异构图信息,同时保持对原始表格特征空间的访问。显式邻居信息表示支持在元路径和特征层面进行透明的SHAP解释。我们在开源和真实世界私有数据集上验证了G-GBM在保险欺诈检测中的表现,结果表明其性能达到或超过当前最先进水平。相关保险欺诈数据集已公开,以促进可复现性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Graph-based methods are becoming increasingly popular in machine learning due to their ability to model complex data and relations. Insurance fraud is a prime use case, since fraudulent claims are often the result of organised criminals that stage accidents or the same persons filing erroneous claims on multiple policies. One challenge is that graph-based approaches struggle to find meaningful representations of the data because of the high class imbalance present in fraud data. In addition, insurance graphs are heterogeneous and dynamic, given the changing relations among people, companies and policies. As a result, gradient-boosted tree approaches on tabular data still dominate the field. Therefore, we present a novel inductive graph gradient boosting machine (G-GBM) for supervised learning on heterogeneous and dynamic graphs. G-GBM combines the class-imbalance robustness of gradient boosting with heterogeneous graph information encoded through interpretable path-level feature concatenations, while preserving access to the original tabular feature space. In addition, the explicit representation of neighbourhood information enables transparent SHAP-based explanations at the metapath and feature level. We demonstrate G-GBM for insurance fraud detection on an open-source and a real-world, proprietary dataset, and find that G-GBM performs on par or better than the state-of-the-art. The associated insurance fraud dataset is publicly released to facilitate reproducibility.
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