融合多源轨迹数据,动态建模交通路径,提升出行时间预测精度
Multimodal Trajectory Representation Learning for Travel Time Estimation
- 设计多模态编码与动态信息密度调节机制,捕捉复杂路网特征
- 在三个真实数据集上误差降低6.3%~12.7%,显著优于现有方法
- 适合交通规划、智能导航等需要精准路径预测的场景
准确的出行时间估计(TTE)在智能交通系统中至关重要,但受限于异构数据源和复杂的交通动态。传统方法通常将轨迹数据转换为固定长度表示,忽略了真实运动模式的多样性,常导致信息丢失和冗余。为此,本文提出多模态动态轨迹集成(MDTI)框架——一种新颖的多模态轨迹表征学习方法,通过整合GPS序列、网格轨迹和道路网络约束来提升TTE性能。MDTI采用模态专用编码器和多模态融合模块,捕捉互补的空间、时间和拓扑语义,并引入动态轨迹建模机制,自适应调节不同长度轨迹的信息密度。两个自监督预训练目标(对比对齐与掩码语言建模)进一步增强多模态一致性与上下文理解能力。在三个真实世界数据集上的大量实验表明,MDTI持续优于当前最优基线,验证了其鲁棒性与强泛化能力。代码已公开:https://github.com/City-Computing/MDTI。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate travel time estimation (TTE) plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. However, it remains challenging due to heterogeneous data sources and complex traffic dynamics. Moreover, traditional approaches typically convert trajectory data into fixed-length representations. This overlooks the inherent variability of real-world motion patterns, often resulting in information loss and redundancy. To address these challenges, this paper introduces the Multimodal Dynamic Trajectory Integration (MDTI) framework--a novel multimodal trajectory representation learning approach that integrates GPS sequences, grid trajectories, and road network constraints to enhance the performance of TTE. MDTI employs modality-specific encoders and a multimodal fusion module to capture complementary spatial, temporal, and topological semantics, while a dynamic trajectory modeling mechanism adaptively regulates information density for trajectories of varying lengths. Two self-supervised pretraining objectives, named contrastive alignment and masked language modeling, further strengthen multimodal consistency and contextual understanding. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate that MDTI consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, confirming its robustness and strong generalization abilities. The code is publicly available at: https://github.com/City-Computing/MDTI.
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