arXiv:2510.10474cs.CLcs.CY2025-10

内容发布时间比内容本身更影响观众参与度。

When or What? Understanding Consumer Engagement on Digital Platforms

  • 用LDA分析TED演讲主题,对比创作者供给与观众需求
  • 发现时间因素对参与度影响大于内容主题
  • 适合内容创作者和平台运营者优化发布策略

理解驱动热度的因素在当今数字服务经济中至关重要,内容创作者需争夺用户注意力。以往研究多关注内容特征,但创作者常误判观众真正看重什么。本研究采用潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)模型分析大量TED演讲,将平台视为数字服务提供场景,通过比较演讲者提供的主题供给与观众互动所体现的需求,识别出持续存在的供需错配。纵向分析进一步表明,时间动态对用户参与度的影响强于主题内容,说明发布时间可能比内容本身更重要。这一发现挑战了内容特征是热门主因的主流假设,强调时机与上下文在塑造用户反应中的关键作用。研究为数字平台上用户注意力动态提供了新见解,对营销人员、平台管理者及内容创作者优化参与策略具有实践意义。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Understanding what drives popularity is critical in today's digital service economy, where content creators compete for consumer attention. Prior studies have primarily emphasized the role of content features, yet creators often misjudge what audiences actually value. This study applies Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) modeling to a large corpus of TED Talks, treating the platform as a case of digital service provision in which creators (speakers) and consumers (audiences) interact. By comparing the thematic supply of creators with the demand expressed in audience engagement, we identify persistent mismatches between producer offerings and consumer preferences. Our longitudinal analysis further reveals that temporal dynamics exert a stronger influence on consumer engagement than thematic content, suggesting that when content is delivered may matter more than what is delivered. These findings challenge the dominant assumption that content features are the primary drivers of popularity and highlight the importance of timing and contextual factors in shaping consumer responses. The results provide new insights into consumer attention dynamics on digital platforms and carry practical implications for marketers, platform managers, and content creators seeking to optimize audience engagement strategies.

用户行为内容推荐时间因素

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