arXiv:2510.12067cs.AI2025-10中稿 · The 1st ACM SIGSPA…

无需标注数据,用轨迹生成语言描述推理人口属性。

HiCoTraj:Zero-Shot Demographic Reasoning via Hierarchical Chain-of-Thought Prompting from Trajectory

  • 将轨迹转为活动时间线和多尺度访问摘要,生成语义丰富描述
  • 通过三级推理链实现零样本下年龄、性别等属性的准确推断
  • 适合缺乏标注数据但需透明推理的公共政策与城市规划场景

从人类移动模式中推断年龄、性别或收入水平等人口属性,可支持精准公共卫生干预、公平城市规划与个性化交通服务。现有研究依赖大规模带标签轨迹数据,导致可解释性差且泛化能力弱。我们提出HiCoTraj(基于轨迹的分层思维链零样本人口属性推理框架),利用大语言模型的零样本学习与语义理解能力,在无标注训练数据条件下实现人口属性推断。HiCoTraj将轨迹转化为富含语义的自然语言表示,包括详细活动时间线与多尺度访问摘要;再通过创新的分层思维链推理,引导大模型依次完成事实特征提取、行为模式分析与结构化输出的人口属性推断。该方法缓解了标注数据稀缺问题,并提供可解释的推理链条。在真实轨迹数据上的实验表明,HiCoTraj在零样本场景下对多个人口属性均达到具有竞争力的性能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Inferring demographic attributes such as age, sex, or income level from human mobility patterns enables critical applications such as targeted public health interventions, equitable urban planning, and personalized transportation services. Existing mobility-based demographic inference studies heavily rely on large-scale trajectory data with demographic labels, leading to limited interpretability and poor generalizability across different datasets and user groups. We propose HiCoTraj (Zero-Shot Demographic Reasoning via Hierarchical Chain-of-Thought Prompting from Trajectory), a framework that leverages LLMs' zero-shot learning and semantic understanding capabilities to perform demographic inference without labeled training data. HiCoTraj transforms trajectories into semantically rich, natural language representations by creating detailed activity chronicles and multi-scale visiting summaries. Then HiCoTraj uses a novel hierarchical chain of thought reasoning to systematically guide LLMs through three cognitive stages: factual feature extraction, behavioral pattern analysis, and demographic inference with structured output. This approach addresses the scarcity challenge of labeled demographic data while providing transparent reasoning chains. Experimental evaluation on real-world trajectory data demonstrates that HiCoTraj achieves competitive performance across multiple demographic attributes in zero-shot scenarios.

人口推断轨迹分析LLM推理零样本

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