用零样本分割分析街景图像,发现影响城市道路安全的11个可解释因素。
Semantic4Safety: Causal Insights from Zero-shot Street View Imagery Segmentation for Urban Road Safety
- 通过零样本语义分割提取街景中的11个可解释指标
- 在约3万条事故数据中发现场景复杂度、车道面积等关键影响因素
- 结合因果推断识别不同事故类型的风险驱动因素,适合交通规划者使用
街景影像(SVI)为交通风险提供了细粒度视角,但存在两大挑战:如何构建捕捉事故相关特征的街道级指标,以及如何量化其在不同事故类型中的因果影响。为此,我们提出Semantic4Safety框架,利用零样本语义分割从街景影像中提取11个可解释的街道景观指标,并结合道路类型作为上下文信息,分析了奥斯汀市约3万条事故记录。具体而言,我们训练了梯度提升多分类器(XGBoost),并使用SHAP解释全局与局部特征贡献,再通过广义倾向得分加权和平均处理效应(ATE)估计控制混杂变量并量化因果效应。结果揭示了异质的、事故类型特异的因果模式:场景复杂度、暴露程度和道路几何特征主导预测力;更大的可行驶区域和应急空间降低风险,而过度的视觉通透性则可能增加风险。该框架将预测建模与因果推断结合,支持精准干预和高风险路段诊断,为城市道路安全规划提供可扩展的数据驱动工具。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Street-view imagery (SVI) offers a fine-grained lens on traffic risk, yet two fundamental challenges persist: (1) how to construct street-level indicators that capture accident-related features, and (2) how to quantify their causal impacts across different accident types. To address these challenges, we propose Semantic4Safety, a framework that applies zero-shot semantic segmentation to SVIs to derive 11 interpretable streetscape indicators, and integrates road type as contextual information to analyze approximately 30,000 accident records in Austin. Specifically, we train an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) multi-class classifier and use Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to interpret both global and local feature contributions, and then apply Generalized Propensity Score (GPS) weighting and Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimation to control confounding and quantify causal effects. Results uncover heterogeneous, accident-type-specific causal patterns: features capturing scene complexity, exposure, and roadway geometry dominate predictive power; larger drivable area and emergency space reduce risk, whereas excessive visual openness can increase it. By bridging predictive modeling with causal inference, Semantic4Safety supports targeted interventions and high-risk corridor diagnosis, offering a scalable, data-informed tool for urban road safety planning.
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