arXiv:2510.15892q-fin.GNcs.LG2025-10

用几何代数解析信贷周期,揭示失业与信贷收缩的危险旋转耦合。

Geometric Dynamics of Consumer Credit Cycles: A Multivector-based Linear-Attention Framework for Explanatory Economic Analysis

  • 用多向量建模经济状态,分离相关性与反馈螺旋两种关系。
  • 发现失业与信贷收缩同步反馈时呈现危险旋转动态,预示系统危机。
  • 适合研究宏观经济波动、金融风险预警的研究者参考。

本研究引入几何代数,将信贷系统关系分解为投影(类似相关性)和旋转(反馈螺旋)两部分。我们将经济状态表示为克利福德代数中的多向量,其中双向量元素捕捉失业、消费、储蓄与信贷使用之间的旋转耦合。该数学框架揭示了传统分析无法察觉的互动模式:当失业与信贷收缩进入同步反馈回路时,其几何关系从简单相关性转变为危险的旋转动力学,标志着系统性危机的特征。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This study introduces geometric algebra to decompose credit system relationships into their projective (correlation-like) and rotational (feedback-spiral) components. We represent economic states as multi-vectors in Clifford algebra, where bivector elements capture the rotational coupling between unemployment, consumption, savings, and credit utilization. This mathematical framework reveals interaction patterns invisible to conventional analysis: when unemployment and credit contraction enter simultaneous feedback loops, their geometric relationship shifts from simple correlation to dangerous rotational dynamics that characterize systemic crises.

几何代数信贷周期经济建模

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