arXiv:2510.16034cs.MAcs.AI2025-10被引 6

用多智能体AI系统提升灾情应对能力,实现人机协同决策。

Disaster Management in the Era of Agentic AI Systems: A Vision for Collective Human-Machine Intelligence for Augmented Resilience

  • 构建中心协调的多智能体框架,整合风险预测、态势感知等专长模块。
  • 支持边缘设备运行,实现实时灾情分析与知识留存,应对资源受限场景。
  • 适合应急管理部门、智慧城市建设者及人机协作研究者参考。

灾害频发且日益严重,传统响应机制已难以应对,暴露出数据割裂、技术孤岛、资源不足和机构记忆流失等关键短板,严重影响决策时效性与有效性。本文提出「灾情协作者」(Disaster Copilot)——一种多智能体人工智能系统愿景,通过在统一协作框架内集成专用AI工具,突破上述系统性挑战。该架构由中央编排器协调多个子智能体,分别专注预测风险分析、实时态势感知与影响评估。系统融合多模态数据,提供全局、实时的作战视图,推动灾情数字孪生从静态模型向主动智能环境演进。通过本地化编排设计,系统可在资源有限环境下运行,并具备捕获机构知识的能力,缓解人员流动带来的影响。文章还提出分三阶段推进的技术-组织-人机协同发展路线图。整体愿景旨在培育集体式人机智能,助力构建更适应、数据驱动且具韧性的社区。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The escalating frequency and severity of disasters routinely overwhelm traditional response capabilities, exposing critical vulnerability in disaster management. Current practices are hindered by fragmented data streams, siloed technologies, resource constraints, and the erosion of institutional memory, which collectively impede timely and effective decision making. This study introduces Disaster Copilot, a vision for a multi-agent artificial intelligence system designed to overcome these systemic challenges by unifying specialized AI tools within a collaborative framework. The proposed architecture utilizes a central orchestrator to coordinate diverse sub-agents, each specializing in critical domains such as predictive risk analytics, situational awareness, and impact assessment. By integrating multi-modal data, the system delivers a holistic, real-time operational picture and serve as the essential AI backbone required to advance Disaster Digital Twins from passive models to active, intelligent environments. Furthermore, it ensures functionality in resource-limited environments through on-device orchestration and incorporates mechanisms to capture institutional knowledge, mitigating the impact of staff turnover. We detail the system architecture and propose a three-phased roadmap emphasizing the parallel growth of technology, organizational capacity, and human-AI teaming. Disaster Copilot offers a transformative vision, fostering collective human-machine intelligence to build more adaptive, data-driven and resilient communities.

灾情管理多智能体人机协同数字孪生

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