arXiv:2510.16053cs.LGcs.AI2025-10被引 1

融合结构化与非结构化数据,提升交通事件感知的预测能力

FUSE-Traffic: Fusion of Unstructured and Structured Data for Event-aware Traffic Forecasting

  • 通过融合道路图谱与事件文本信息,构建统一表征空间
  • 在METR-LA和Pems-Bay数据集上,相比基线模型提升12.3%和8.7%的预测精度
  • 特别适合需要实时响应突发事件的城市交通系统

精准的交通预测是构建智能交通系统的核心技术,有助于优化城市资源配置并改善出行体验。随着城市化进程加快,交通拥堵加剧,对可靠且响应迅速的预测模型需求日益迫切。近年来,深度学习特别是图神经网络(GNN)已成为交通预测的主流范式。GNN能有效捕捉道路拓扑中的复杂空间依赖性以及交通流数据的动态时间演化模式。以STGCN和GraphWaveNet为代表的经典模型,以及STWave和D2STGNN等新进展,在标准交通数据集上取得了显著成果。这些方法结合了复杂的图卷积结构与时间建模机制,尤其擅长捕捉具有周期性规律的交通模式。为应对这一挑战,研究者尝试引入事件信息。早期方法主要依赖人工设计的事件特征,例如引入事故影响评分或为不同事件场景构建特定子图。尽管这些方法在特定事件下有所改进,但其核心缺陷在于高度依赖领域专家先验知识,难以泛化到多样且复杂的未知事件,且低维人工特征常导致丰富语义信息的丢失。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate traffic forecasting is a core technology for building Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), enabling better urban resource allocation and improved travel experiences. With growing urbanization, traffic congestion has intensified, highlighting the need for reliable and responsive forecasting models. In recent years, deep learning, particularly Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), has emerged as the mainstream paradigm in traffic forecasting. GNNs can effectively capture complex spatial dependencies in road network topology and dynamic temporal evolution patterns in traffic flow data. Foundational models such as STGCN and GraphWaveNet, along with more recent developments including STWave and D2STGNN, have achieved impressive performance on standard traffic datasets. These approaches incorporate sophisticated graph convolutional structures and temporal modeling mechanisms, demonstrating particular effectiveness in capturing and forecasting traffic patterns characterized by periodic regularities. To address this challenge, researchers have explored various ways to incorporate event information. Early attempts primarily relied on manually engineered event features. For instance, some approaches introduced manually defined incident effect scores or constructed specific subgraphs for different event-induced traffic conditions. While these methods somewhat enhance responsiveness to specific events, their core drawback lies in a heavy reliance on domain experts' prior knowledge, making generalization to diverse and complex unknown events difficult, and low-dimensional manual features often lead to the loss of rich semantic details.

交通预测图神经网络事件感知多源融合

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。