用可解释AI提升地震事件检测模型的可靠性与精度
Explainable AI for microseismic event detection
- 结合Grad-CAM和SHAP分析PhaseNet模型决策依据
- 引入基于SHAP的门控推理,测试集F1达0.98
- 结果可解释且直接提升模型抗噪能力,适合地质监测场景
深度神经网络如PhaseNet在微震事件检测中表现优异,但其黑箱特性在关键应用中令人担忧。本文采用可解释人工智能(XAI)技术,如梯度加权类激活映射(Grad-CAM)和沙普利值加性解释(SHAP),解析PhaseNet模型的决策过程并提升其可靠性。Grad-CAM显示网络关注点与P波和S波初至一致;SHAP值量化特征贡献,证实垂直分量振幅主导P相拾取,水平分量主导S相拾取,符合地球物理原理。基于此,提出一种基于SHAP的门控推理机制,融合模型输出与解释性指标以降低误检。在包含9,000条波形的测试集上,该方法达到F1分数0.98(精确率0.99,召回率0.97),优于基线PhaseNet(F1=0.97),且对噪声更具鲁棒性。结果表明,XAI不仅能解释模型,还能直接提升性能,为构建可信自动化地震检测器提供范例。代码与脚本将公开于https://github.com/ayratabd/xAI_PhaseNet。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Deep neural networks like PhaseNet show high accuracy in detecting microseismic events, but their black-box nature is a concern in critical applications. We apply Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, such as Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), to interpret the PhaseNet model's decisions and improve its reliability. Grad-CAM highlights that the network's attention aligns with P- and S-wave arrivals. SHAP values quantify feature contributions, confirming that vertical-component amplitudes drive P-phase picks while horizontal components dominate S-phase picks, consistent with geophysical principles. Leveraging these insights, we introduce a SHAP-gated inference scheme that combines the model's output with an explanation-based metric to reduce errors. On a test set of 9,000 waveforms, the SHAP-gated model achieved an F1-score of 0.98 (precision 0.99, recall 0.97), outperforming the baseline PhaseNet (F1-score 0.97) and demonstrating enhanced robustness to noise. These results show that XAI can not only interpret deep learning models but also directly enhance their performance, providing a template for building trust in automated seismic detectors. The implementation and scripts used in this study will be publicly available at https://github.com/ayratabd/xAI_PhaseNet.
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