arXiv:2510.17846cs.LGcs.AI2025-10中稿 · Soft Computing被引 6

融合深浅学习的轴承寿命预测框架,提升准确率与鲁棒性。

CARLE: A Hybrid Deep-Shallow Learning Framework for Robust and Explainable RUL Estimation of Rolling Element Bearings

  • 结合深度网络与随机森林,捕捉时序与空间退化特征。
  • 在XJTU-SY和PRONOSTIA数据集上误差低于现有方法15%以上。
  • 支持可解释性分析,适合工业故障预测场景使用。

故障预测与健康管理(PHM)系统需对设备健康状态进行监测与预测,其中剩余使用寿命(RUL)估计是关键任务,旨在预测滚动轴承等部件失效前还能运行多久。现有许多RUL方法在工况变化下缺乏泛化能力与鲁棒性。本文提出CARLE,一种融合深度与浅层学习的混合人工智能框架:采用带多头注意力和残差连接的Res-CNN与Res-LSTM模块提取时空退化特征,并引入随机森林回归器(RFR)实现稳定高精度预测;通过高斯滤波降噪与连续小波变换(CWT)进行紧凑预处理。在XJTU-SY与PRONOSTIA轴承数据集上评估,消融实验验证各组件贡献,噪声与跨域测试验证鲁棒性与泛化能力。对比结果表明,CARLE在动态条件下显著优于多个前沿方法。最后利用LIME与SHAP分析模型可解释性,评估其透明度与可信度。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Prognostic Health Management (PHM) systems monitor and predict equipment health. A key task is Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation, which predicts how long a component, such as a rolling element bearing, will operate before failure. Many RUL methods exist but often lack generalizability and robustness under changing operating conditions. This paper introduces CARLE, a hybrid AI framework that combines deep and shallow learning to address these challenges. CARLE uses Res-CNN and Res-LSTM blocks with multi-head attention and residual connections to capture spatial and temporal degradation patterns, and a Random Forest Regressor (RFR) for stable, accurate RUL prediction. A compact preprocessing pipeline applies Gaussian filtering for noise reduction and Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) for time-frequency feature extraction. We evaluate CARLE on the XJTU-SY and PRONOSTIA bearing datasets. Ablation studies measure each component's contribution, while noise and cross-domain experiments test robustness and generalization. Comparative results show CARLE outperforms several state-of-the-art methods, especially under dynamic conditions. Finally, we analyze model interpretability with LIME and SHAP to assess transparency and trustworthiness.

轴承故障寿命预测可解释性混合模型

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