arXiv:2510.19003cs.CVcs.AI2025-10

用时间感知机制提升乳腺癌风险预测,处理不规则间隔的医学影像序列。

$Δ$t-Mamba3D: A Time-Aware Spatio-Temporal State-Space Model for Breast Cancer Risk Prediction

  • 引入连续时间选择性扫描,显式建模两次检查间的真实时间差。
  • 在乳腺癌风险预测上,验证集c-index提升2-5个百分点,1-5年AUC更高。
  • 适合处理长周期、不规则时间采样的医学影像分析,计算高效。

纵向分析连续放射影像面临核心数据挑战:如何有效建模在不规则时间间隔下采集的高分辨率图像序列。这类数据包含不可或缺的空间与时间线索,现有方法难以充分挖掘。模型常因压缩空间信息或采用计算效率低、不支持非均匀时间步的时空模型而妥协。我们提出时间感知的Δt-Mamba3D,一种专为纵向医学影像设计的新式状态空间架构。该模型同时编码不规则就诊间隔与丰富的时空上下文,保持计算高效。其核心创新是连续时间选择性扫描机制,显式将检查间的实际时间差融入状态转移。辅以多尺度3D邻域融合模块,稳健捕捉时空关系。在使用连续筛查乳腺钼靶片的乳腺癌风险预测基准上,模型表现优异,验证集c-index提升2-5个百分点,1-5年AUC高于现有循环、注意力及状态空间模型变体。得益于线性复杂度,模型可高效处理复杂的长期患者钼靶历史,为纵向影像分析提供新框架。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Longitudinal analysis of sequential radiological images is hampered by a fundamental data challenge: how to effectively model a sequence of high-resolution images captured at irregular time intervals. This data structure contains indispensable spatial and temporal cues that current methods fail to fully exploit. Models often compromise by either collapsing spatial information into vectors or applying spatio-temporal models that are computationally inefficient and incompatible with non-uniform time steps. We address this challenge with Time-Aware $Δ$t-Mamba3D, a novel state-space architecture adapted for longitudinal medical imaging. Our model simultaneously encodes irregular inter-visit intervals and rich spatio-temporal context while remaining computationally efficient. Its core innovation is a continuous-time selective scanning mechanism that explicitly integrates the true time difference between exams into its state transitions. This is complemented by a multi-scale 3D neighborhood fusion module that robustly captures spatio-temporal relationships. In a comprehensive breast cancer risk prediction benchmark using sequential screening mammogram exams, our model shows superior performance, improving the validation c-index by 2-5 percentage points and achieving higher 1-5 year AUC scores compared to established variants of recurrent, transformer, and state-space models. Thanks to its linear complexity, the model can efficiently process long and complex patient screening histories of mammograms, forming a new framework for longitudinal image analysis.

乳腺癌时序建模医学影像状态空间

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