arXiv:2510.20486cs.LGcs.AI2025-10

解决红外遥感降水反演中的样本不平衡问题,提升强降雨识别能力。

Hurdle-IMDL: An Imbalanced Learning Framework for Infrared Rainfall Retrieval

  • 分步处理零膨胀与长尾分布,用障碍模型和去偏学习框架应对数据不均衡
  • 显著减少强至极端降雨的系统性低估,重雨检出率明显提升
  • 适用于气象中稀有高影响事件的反演,可推广至其他环境变量建模

人工智能推动了定量遥感发展,但标签分布不均限制其效果。传统模型偏向常见样本,导致稀有样本(如强降雨)反演性能下降。本研究提出Hurdle-Inversion Model Debiasing Learning(IMDL)框架,采用分而治之策略,将降水分布不均分解为零膨胀(无雨样本占主导)与长尾(轻雨样本远多于重雨样本)。通过障碍模型处理零膨胀,提出IMDL方法将学习目标转化为无偏的理想逆模型以应对长尾问题。在华东地区降雨天气的统计指标与案例分析中,该方法优于常规、代价敏感、生成式及多任务学习方法。关键成果包括有效缓解系统性低估,显著提升强至极端降雨的反演精度。IMDL为环境变量分布不均问题提供通用解决方案,助力稀有高影响事件的精准反演。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial intelligence has advanced quantitative remote sensing, yet its effectiveness is constrained by imbalanced label distribution. This imbalance leads conventionally trained models to favor common samples, which in turn degrades retrieval performance for rare ones. Rainfall retrieval exemplifies this issue, with performance particularly compromised for heavy rain. This study proposes Hurdle-Inversion Model Debiasing Learning (IMDL) framework. Following a divide-and-conquer strategy, imbalance in the rain distribution is decomposed into two components: zero inflation, defined by the predominance of non-rain samples; and long tail, defined by the disproportionate abundance of light-rain samples relative to heavy-rain samples. A hurdle model is adopted to handle the zero inflation, while IMDL is proposed to address the long tail by transforming the learning object into an unbiased ideal inverse model. Comprehensive evaluation via statistical metrics and case studies investigating rainy weather in eastern China confirms Hurdle-IMDL's superiority over conventional, cost-sensitive, generative, and multi-task learning methods. Its key advancements include effective mitigation of systematic underestimation and a marked improvement in the retrieval of heavy-to-extreme rain. IMDL offers a generalizable approach for addressing imbalance in distributions of environmental variables, enabling enhanced retrieval of rare yet high-impact events.

遥感反演不平衡学习降水估计深度学习

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