arXiv:2510.20606cs.GTcs.CY2025-10NeurIPS

感知价值差异导致努力投入不均,加剧选拔不公平。

Strategic Costs of Perceived Bias in Fair Selection

  • 基于博弈论建模不同群体对选拔后价值的感知差异
  • 发现感知偏差使努力水平分化,影响代表性与社会福利
  • 提出可调节的优化框架,平衡公平与选拔目标

meritocratic 系统旨在公正奖励技能与努力,但种族、性别和阶级间的持续差异挑战这一理想。我们构建一个博弈论模型,其中来自不同社会经济群体的候选人对选拔后的价值感知不同——这种感知受社会背景影响,并日益受 AI 驱动的职业或薪酬指导工具塑造。每位候选人战略性地选择努力程度,权衡其成本与预期回报;努力转化为可观测的才能,选拔仅基于才能。我们在大群体极限下刻画了唯一纳什均衡,并推导出显式公式,显示感知价值差异与机构选拔严格度如何共同决定努力水平、代表性、社会福利与个体效用。我们进一步提出一种成本敏感优化框架,量化调整选拔严格度或感知价值如何在不损害机构目标的前提下减少差距。分析揭示了一种感知驱动的偏见:当群体间对选拔后价值的感知存在差异时,这些差异会转化为理性的努力差异,将不平等逆向传递至本应‘公平’的选拔过程。尽管模型为静态,但它捕捉了更广泛反馈循环中的一环,连接感知、激励与结果,通过展示技术-社会环境如何塑造功绩制系统中的个体激励,弥合理性选择与结构性解释之间的鸿沟。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Meritocratic systems, from admissions to hiring, aim to impartially reward skill and effort. Yet persistent disparities across race, gender, and class challenge this ideal. Some attribute these gaps to structural inequality; others to individual choice. We develop a game-theoretic model in which candidates from different socioeconomic groups differ in their perceived post-selection value--shaped by social context and, increasingly, by AI-powered tools offering personalized career or salary guidance. Each candidate strategically chooses effort, balancing its cost against expected reward; effort translates into observable merit, and selection is based solely on merit. We characterize the unique Nash equilibrium in the large-agent limit and derive explicit formulas showing how valuation disparities and institutional selectivity jointly determine effort, representation, social welfare, and utility. We further propose a cost-sensitive optimization framework that quantifies how modifying selectivity or perceived value can reduce disparities without compromising institutional goals. Our analysis reveals a perception-driven bias: when perceptions of post-selection value differ across groups, these differences translate into rational differences in effort, propagating disparities backward through otherwise "fair" selection processes. While the model is static, it captures one stage of a broader feedback cycle linking perceptions, incentives, and outcome--bridging rational-choice and structural explanations of inequality by showing how techno-social environments shape individual incentives in meritocratic systems.

公平选拔感知偏差博弈论功绩制

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