arXiv:2510.23410cs.AI2025-10KDD被引 4

用统一模型预测广告竞价效果,提升跨场景表现。

Bid2X: Revealing Dynamics of Bidding Environment in Online Advertising from A Foundation Model Lens

  • 构建统一函数估计不同出价下的广告效果,实现跨场景泛化。
  • 在8个数据集上优于基线,线上测试提升GMV 4.65%、ROI 2.44%。
  • 适合做广告竞价系统优化的研究者与工程师参考。

自动化竞价在在线广告中至关重要,能自动为广告主提供出价。然而,以往方法通常针对特定竞价场景定制,泛化能力有限。为此,本文通过统一函数建模在特定出价下实现的效果(如预算消耗、总商品交易额GMV、页面浏览量等),提出竞价基础模型Bid2X,从多场景数据中学习该核心函数。Bid2X基于统一序列嵌入,通过定制嵌入方法编码异构数据;设计两种注意力机制,分别处理不同变量与不同时刻的嵌入表示,捕捉复杂变量间关系和动态时序依赖;引入变量感知融合模块,实现自适应竞价结果预测。为建模独特的竞价数据分布,提出零膨胀投影模块,将非零概率估计融入值预测,形成包含分类与回归的联合优化目标,其理论收敛于零膨胀分布。模型已部署于淘宝广告平台(全球最大的电商平台之一)。离线评估在8个数据集上显示优于多种基线,线上A/B测试中,GMV提升4.65%,ROI提升2.44%,验证了竞价基础模型在计算广告中的可行性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Auto-bidding is crucial in facilitating online advertising by automatically providing bids for advertisers. While previous work has made great efforts to model bidding environments for better ad performance, it has limitations in generalizability across environments since these models are typically tailored for specific bidding scenarios. To this end, we approach the scenario-independent principles through a unified function that estimates the achieved effect under specific bids, such as budget consumption, gross merchandise volume (GMV), page views, etc. Then, we propose a bidding foundation model Bid2X to learn this fundamental function from data in various scenarios. Our Bid2X is built over uniform series embeddings that encode heterogeneous data through tailored embedding methods. To capture complex inter-variable and dynamic temporal dependencies in bidding data, we propose two attention mechanisms separately treating embeddings of different variables and embeddings at different times as attention tokens for representation learning. On top of the learned variable and temporal representations, a variable-aware fusion module is used to perform adaptive bidding outcome prediction. To model the unique bidding data distribution, we devise a zero-inflated projection module to incorporate the estimated non-zero probability into its value prediction, which makes up a joint optimization objective containing classification and regression. The objective is proven to converge to the zero-inflated distribution. Our model has been deployed on the ad platform in Taobao, one of the world's largest e-commerce platforms. Offline evaluation on eight datasets exhibits Bid2X's superiority compared to various baselines and its generality across different scenarios. Bid2X increased GMV by 4.65% and ROI by 2.44% in online A/B tests, paving the way for bidding foundation model in computational advertising.

广告竞价基础模型GMV优化时序建模

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。