arXiv:2510.23905eess.SPcs.LG2025-10被引 1

用博弈论建模群体轨迹意图,结合NLP生成真实轨迹数据。

Inferring Group Intent as a Cooperative Game. An NLP-based Framework for Trajectory Analysis

  • 将群体轨迹意图建模为合作博弈的特征函数,通过分配机制生成协调轨迹。
  • 基于费舍尔信息构造特征函数,使生成轨迹具备时空协同性。
  • 采用图Transformer网络从噪声观测中高精度推断群体意图,适合追踪与行为分析场景。

本文研究群体目标轨迹意图作为合作博弈的结果,利用基于自然语言处理的生成模型对复杂时空轨迹进行建模。在该框架中,群体意图由合作博弈的特征函数定义,参与者分配则采用核心、夏普利值或核心解。由此产生的分配诱导出概率分布,决定目标间的协调时空轨迹,反映群体潜在意图。本文解决两个关键问题:(1)如何最优地将群体轨迹意图形式化为合作博弈的特征函数?(2)如何从目标的噪声观测中推断该意图?针对第一个问题,提出一种基于费舍尔信息的特征函数,生成具有协调时空模式的概率分布;并构建基于形式语法的NLP生成模型,用于生成逼真的多目标轨迹数据。针对第二个问题,训练图变换器神经网络(GTNN)从观测数据中高精度推断群体意图(即合作博弈的特征函数)。GTNN的自注意力机制依赖于轨迹估计结果,整体形成从目标跟踪(贝叶斯信号处理)到群体意图推断的多层方法体系。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This paper studies group target trajectory intent as the outcome of a cooperative game where the complex-spatio trajectories are modeled using an NLP-based generative model. In our framework, the group intent is specified by the characteristic function of a cooperative game, and allocations for players in the cooperative game are specified by either the core, the Shapley value, or the nucleolus. The resulting allocations induce probability distributions that govern the coordinated spatio-temporal trajectories of the targets that reflect the group's underlying intent. We address two key questions: (1) How can the intent of a group trajectory be optimally formalized as the characteristic function of a cooperative game? (2) How can such intent be inferred from noisy observations of the targets? To answer the first question, we introduce a Fisher-information-based characteristic function of the cooperative game, which yields probability distributions that generate coordinated spatio-temporal patterns. As a generative model for these patterns, we develop an NLP-based generative model built on formal grammar, enabling the creation of realistic multi-target trajectory data. To answer the second question, we train a Graph Transformer Neural Network (GTNN) to infer group trajectory intent-expressed as the characteristic function of the cooperative game-from observational data with high accuracy. The self-attention function of the GTNN depends on the track estimates. Thus, the formulation and algorithms provide a multi-layer approach that spans target tracking (Bayesian signal processing) and the GTNN (for group intent inference).

轨迹分析合作博弈NLP生成图神经网络

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