arXiv:2510.25550stat.MEcs.LG2025-10被引 1

提出噪声鲁棒的变量选择方法,提升空间点过程建模准确性

Robust variable selection for spatial point processes observed with noise

  • 结合稀疏估计与稳定性选择,通过子采样和非凸惩罚增强鲁棒性
  • 在多种噪声场景下准确识别真实协变量,提升选择精度与稳定性
  • 适用于遥感、林业等存在测量误差的空间数据分析

随着遥感与自动图像分析技术的发展,高分辨率空间数据日益普及,识别影响事件分布的空间协变量对理解其内在机制至关重要。然而,自动化获取的数据常伴有噪声,如测量不确定性或检测误差,导致事件位置偏移或遗漏。本文研究了此类噪声对泊松和Thomas过程等模型中稀疏点过程估计的影响。为提高抗噪能力,提出基于点过程子采样的稳定性选择,并引入非凸最优子集惩罚以提升模型选择性能。大量模拟实验表明,该方法在不同噪声条件下均能可靠恢复真实协变量,显著提升选择准确性和稳定性。进一步应用于热带雨林树木分布数据,分析海拔与土壤养分对树木空间分布的影响,验证了方法的实用性。该方法为噪声环境下空间点过程模型的稳健变量选择提供系统框架,无需额外过程知识。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available through remote sensing and automated image analysis, identifying spatial covariates that influence the localization of events is crucial to understand the underlying mechanism. However, results from automated acquisition techniques are often noisy, for example due to measurement uncertainties or detection errors, which leads to spurious displacements and missed events. We study the impact of such noise on sparse point-process estimation across different models, including Poisson and Thomas processes. To improve noise robustness, we propose to use stability selection based on point-process subsampling and to incorporate a non-convex best-subset penalty to enhance model-selection performance. In extensive simulations, we demonstrate that such an approach reliably recovers true covariates under diverse noise scenarios and improves both selection accuracy and stability. We then apply the proposed method to a forestry data set, analyzing the distribution of trees in relation to elevation and soil nutrients in a tropical rain forest. This shows the practical utility of the method, which provides a systematic framework for robust variable selection in spatial point-process models under noise, without requiring additional knowledge of the process.

空间点过程变量选择噪声鲁棒林业分析

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