arXiv:2510.26032cs.CLcs.AI2025-10

AI分析影像报告发现甲状腺意外结节普遍,易导致过度诊断。

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Analysis of Radiology Reports: Epidemiology and Consequences of Incidental Thyroid Findings

  • 用Transformer模型自动识别影像报告中的甲状腺意外发现
  • 7.8%患者有甲状腺意外结节,多数为小结节且报告信息不全
  • 结节发现后更易做穿刺和手术,多为低风险乳头癌

背景:影像检查中偶然发现的甲状腺异常(ITFs)日益增多,但其流行病学特征及临床后果尚不明确。方法:在2017年7月1日至2023年9月30日期间,对梅奥诊所115,683名无甲状腺病史的成人进行回顾性队列研究,采用基于Transformer的自然语言处理(NLP)管道识别多种模态和部位影像报告中的ITFs,并提取结节特征。主要结局包括ITFs患病率、后续甲状腺超声、活检、甲状腺切除术及甲状腺癌诊断。结果:共9,077例(7.8%)患者存在ITF,其中92.9%为结节;女性、老年人、肥胖者以及由肿瘤科或内科医生申请的影像检查中更常见;与胸部CT相比,颈部CT、PET和核医学检查中更易发现ITFs。结节特征记录不佳,仅44%报告大小,其他特征如钙化等不足15%。与无ITF者相比,有ITF者更可能被诊断为甲状腺结节、接受活检、手术及确诊甲状腺癌。多数癌症为乳头状癌,且在发现后比无ITF者更大。结论:ITFs普遍存在,与一系列诊疗路径相关,导致大量小而低风险癌症被检出,凸显其在甲状腺癌过度诊断中的作用,亟需标准化报告与更精准的随访策略。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Importance Incidental thyroid findings (ITFs) are increasingly detected on imaging performed for non-thyroid indications. Their prevalence, features, and clinical consequences remain undefined. Objective To develop, validate, and deploy a natural language processing (NLP) pipeline to identify ITFs in radiology reports and assess their prevalence, features, and clinical outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants Retrospective cohort of adults without prior thyroid disease undergoing thyroid-capturing imaging at Mayo Clinic sites from July 1, 2017, to September 30, 2023. A transformer-based NLP pipeline identified ITFs and extracted nodule characteristics from image reports from multiple modalities and body regions. Main Outcomes and Measures Prevalence of ITFs, downstream thyroid ultrasound, biopsy, thyroidectomy, and thyroid cancer diagnosis. Logistic regression identified demographic and imaging-related factors. Results Among 115,683 patients (mean age, 56.8 [SD 17.2] years; 52.9% women), 9,077 (7.8%) had an ITF, of which 92.9% were nodules. ITFs were more likely in women, older adults, those with higher BMI, and when imaging was ordered by oncology or internal medicine. Compared with chest CT, ITFs were more likely via neck CT, PET, and nuclear medicine scans. Nodule characteristics were poorly documented, with size reported in 44% and other features in fewer than 15% (e.g. calcifications). Compared with patients without ITFs, those with ITFs had higher odds of thyroid nodule diagnosis, biopsy, thyroidectomy and thyroid cancer diagnosis. Most cancers were papillary, and larger when detected after ITFs vs no ITF. Conclusions ITFs were common and strongly associated with cascades leading to the detection of small, low-risk cancers. These findings underscore the role of ITFs in thyroid cancer overdiagnosis and the need for standardized reporting and more selective follow-up.

AI医疗影像分析甲状腺癌自然语言处理

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