arXiv:2510.26609cs.CVcs.LG2025-10被引 2

用预训练模型细调,实现30米精度的田间油菜产量预测。

FARM: Fine-Tuning Geospatial Foundation Models for Intra-Field Crop Yield Regression

  • 基于遥感影像,用预训练模型细调实现像素级产量回归。
  • 在加拿大草原区达RMSE 0.44、R² 0.81,优于3D-CNN等基线。
  • 小样本标注下仍优于从零训练,适合数据稀缺的精准农业。

准确及时的作物产量预测对全球粮食安全和现代农业管理至关重要。传统方法往往难以满足精准农业所需的可扩展性和粒度要求。本文提出FARM:用于田间油菜产量回归的细调农业模型框架,采用预训练的大规模地理空间基础模型(Prithvi-EO-2.0-600M),将多时相卫星影像转化为高分辨率(30米)的像素级产量图。在加拿大草原区的综合数据集上评估,FARM达到均方根误差(RMSE)0.44,决定系数(R²)0.81。使用独立的高分辨率产量监测数据集进一步验证,仅用少量真实标签对FARM进行微调,性能即超过从零训练相同架构,证实了在大规模上采样县级数据上预训练对数据稀缺的精准农业具有显著优势。该结果优于3D-CNN和DeepYield等基线模型,凸显了细调基础模型在专业农业应用中的有效性。通过提供连续、高分辨率输出,FARM相比传统分类或县级聚合方法更具可操作性。本研究验证了一种连接大规模地球观测与农场决策的新范式,为精细化农业监测提供了可扩展方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate and timely crop yield prediction is crucial for global food security and modern agricultural management. Traditional methods often lack the scalability and granularity required for precision farming. This paper introduces FARM: Fine-tuning Agricultural Regression Models, a deep learning framework designed for high-resolution, intra-field canola yield prediction. FARM leverages a pre-trained, large-scale geospatial foundation model (Prithvi-EO-2.0-600M) and adapts it for a continuous regression task, transforming multi-temporal satellite imagery into dense, pixel-level (30 m) yield maps. Evaluated on a comprehensive dataset from the Canadian Prairies, FARM achieves a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.44 and an R^2 of 0.81. Using an independent high-resolution yield monitor dataset, we further show that fine-tuning FARM on limited ground-truth labels outperforms training the same architecture from scratch, confirming the benefit of pre-training on large, upsampled county-level data for data-scarce precision agriculture. These results represent improvement over baseline architectures like 3D-CNN and DeepYield, which highlight the effectiveness of fine-tuning foundation models for specialized agricultural applications. By providing a continuous, high-resolution output, FARM offers a more actionable tool for precision agriculture than conventional classification or county-level aggregation methods. This work validates a novel approach that bridges the gap between large-scale Earth observation and on-farm decision-making, offering a scalable solution for detailed agricultural monitoring.

产量预测遥感细调精准农业

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