无需已知系统模型,用神经网络+粒子采样实现高精度状态估计。
pDANSE: Particle-based Data-driven Nonlinear State Estimation from Nonlinear Measurements
- 用RNN建模状态先验,结合粒子采样处理非线性观测数据
- 在洛伦兹-63/96系统上,性能媲美已知模型的主流方法
- 支持半监督与无监督学习,适用于缺乏标注数据场景
本文研究一种无需已知状态转移模型(STM)的非线性状态估计方法——基于数据驱动的非线性状态估计(DANSE)。针对测量为非线性且存在噪声的情况,提出基于粒子的DANSE(pDANSE)方法。该方法利用循环神经网络(RNN)从历史观测中提取状态先验,并通过重参数化技巧进行粒子采样,计算状态后验的二阶统计量。相比传统序贯蒙特卡洛(SMC)方法,pDANSE避免了计算密集型的逐层采样。我们采用半监督学习策略,在无标签数据时可转为无监督学习。以随机洛伦兹-63系统为基准,验证了四种非线性测量系统下的表现:包括三次非线性、相机模型非线性(使用无监督学习),以及半波整流、笛卡尔到球坐标转换非线性(使用半监督学习)。此外,还在随机洛伦兹-96系统上测试了半波整流测量系统的性能。结果表明,其状态估计精度与完全知晓系统模型的模型驱动方法相当。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We consider the problem of designing a data-driven nonlinear state estimation (DANSE) method that uses (noisy) nonlinear measurements of a process whose underlying state transition model (STM) is unknown. Such a process is referred to as a model-free process. A recurrent neural network (RNN) provides parameters of a Gaussian prior that characterize the state of the model-free process, using all previous measurements at a given time point. In the case of DANSE, the measurement system was linear, leading to a closed-form solution for the state posterior. However, the presence of a nonlinear measurement system renders a closed-form solution infeasible. Instead, the secondorder statistics of the state posterior are computed using the nonlinear measurements observed at the time point. We address the nonlinear measurements using a reparameterization trickbased particle sampling approach, and estimate the second-order statistics of the state posterior. The proposed method is referred to as particle-based DANSE (pDANSE). The RNN of pDANSE uses sequential measurements efficiently and avoids the use of computationally intensive sequential Monte-Carlo (SMC) and/or ancestral sampling. We describe the semi-supervised learning method for pDANSE, which transitions to unsupervised learning in the absence of labeled data. Using a stochastic Lorenz-63 system as a benchmark process, we experimentally demonstrate the state estimation performance for four nonlinear measurement systems. We explore cubic nonlinearity and a cameramodel nonlinearity where unsupervised learning is used; then we explore half-wave rectification nonlinearity and Cartesian-tospherical nonlinearity where semi-supervised learning is used. Additionally, we also show the performance of pDANSE for the stochastic Lorenz-96 system with a half-wave, rectified measurement system. The performance of state estimation is shown to be competitive vis-a-vis model-driven methods that have complete knowledge of the STM of the dynamical system.
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