论文用大模型分析经济论文的创新性,发现时间与空间创新各有不同影响。
Novelty and Impact of Economics Papers
- 将创新拆解为时空两个维度,用大模型量化论文在学术版图中的位置。
- 时间创新更易被引用,空间创新更具颠覆性影响力。
- 识别出四种学术类型,每种对应可预测的影响力模式。
我们提出一个框架,将科学创新视为论文在不断演化的知识景观中的位置,而非单一属性。该位置被分解为两个正交维度:空间新颖性(衡量论文与其邻近研究的智力差异)和时间新颖性(反映其对动态研究前沿的参与度)。通过利用大语言模型开发语义孤立度指标,我们量化了论文相对于全文献的位置。在大量经济学论文中应用该框架后,我们发现两者存在根本性权衡:时间新颖性主要预测引用量,而空间新颖性则预测颠覆性影响。这一区分使我们构建了语义邻域的分类体系,识别出四种与不同且可预测影响特征相关的原型。研究结果表明,创新是多维构造,其不同形式反映了论文的战略定位,并对科学进步产生可测量且本质不同的后果。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We propose a framework that recasts scientific novelty not as a single attribute of a paper, but as a reflection of its position within the evolving intellectual landscape. We decompose this position into two orthogonal dimensions: \textit{spatial novelty}, which measures a paper's intellectual distinctiveness from its neighbors, and \textit{temporal novelty}, which captures its engagement with a dynamic research frontier. To operationalize these concepts, we leverage Large Language Models to develop semantic isolation metrics that quantify a paper's location relative to the full-text literature. Applying this framework to a large corpus of economics articles, we uncover a fundamental trade-off: these two dimensions predict systematically different outcomes. Temporal novelty primarily predicts citation counts, whereas spatial novelty predicts disruptive impact. This distinction allows us to construct a typology of semantic neighborhoods, identifying four archetypes associated with distinct and predictable impact profiles. Our findings demonstrate that novelty can be understood as a multidimensional construct whose different forms, reflecting a paper's strategic location, have measurable and fundamentally distinct consequences for scientific progress.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。