证明了高维随机图上因果发现的错误率会随维度增长而稳定收敛。
Theoretical Guarantees for Causal Discovery on Large Random Graphs
- 在稀疏随机图上,通过单变量干预和ε-干预忠实性假设分析因果边方向恢复率
- 错误率集中在均值附近,维度越大偏离越小,高维下误差几乎可忽略
- 真实尺度自由网络能自动降低误差波动,适合大规模因果推断场景
我们研究了在单变量随机干预和ε-干预忠实性假设(允许潜在混杂)下,大随机有向无环图中因果发现的假阴性率(FNR)的理论保证。对于边概率为 $p_e = Θ(1/d)$ 的稀疏厄尔多斯-雷尼有向无环图,我们证明FNR以 $O(rac{"log d}{"\
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We investigate theoretical guarantees for the false-negative rate (FNR) -- the fraction of true causal edges whose orientation is not recovered, under single-variable random interventions and an $ε$-interventional faithfulness assumption that accommodates latent confounding. For sparse Erdős--Rényi directed acyclic graphs, where the edge probability scales as $p_e = Θ(1/d)$, we show that the FNR concentrates around its mean at rate $O(\frac{\log d}{\sqrt d})$, implying that large deviations above the expected error become exponentially unlikely as dimensionality increases. This concentration ensures that derived upper bounds hold with high probability in large-scale settings. Extending the analysis to generalized Barabási--Albert graphs reveals an even stronger phenomenon: when the degree exponent satisfies $γ> 3$, the deviation width scales as $O(d^{β- \frac{1}{2}})$ with $β= 1/(γ- 1) < \frac{1}{2}$, and hence vanishes in the limit. This demonstrates that realistic scale-free topologies intrinsically regularize causal discovery, reducing variability in orientation error. These finite-dimension results provide the first dimension-adaptive, faithfulness-robust guarantees for causal structure recovery, and challenge the intuition that high dimensionality and network heterogeneity necessarily hinder accurate discovery. Our simulation results corroborate these theoretical predictions, showing that the FNR indeed concentrates and often vanishes in practice as dimensionality grows.
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