用3D身体扫描+Transformer预测剖腹产风险,适合资源有限地区
MvBody: Multi-View-Based Hybrid Transformer Using Optical 3D Body Scan for Explainable Cesarean Section Prediction
- 基于多视角3D身体扫描与自报病史构建Transformer模型
- 准确率达84.62%,AUC为0.724,优于现有方法
- 通过梯度归因解释决策,关键影响因素明确
准确评估剖腹产风险对医疗资源有限地区尤为重要,可改善母婴结局。现有模型多依赖分娩期间的医院数据,难以在家庭或资源匮乏环境中应用。本研究探索使用3D体形数据进行剖腹产风险预测的可行性,提出新型多视图Transformer网络MvBody,仅需孕31至38周的自报病史与光学3D体扫描即可预测。为提升训练效率与泛化能力,引入度量学习损失。在独立测试集上,该方法准确率达84.62%,AUC-ROC为0.724,优于主流机器学习模型与先进3D分析方法。通过集成梯度法提供可解释性,结果显示孕前体重、产妇年龄、产科史、既往剖宫产史及头部肩部体形是主要影响因素。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurately assessing the risk of cesarean section (CS) delivery is critical, especially in settings with limited medical resources, where access to healthcare is often restricted. Early and reliable risk prediction allows better-informed prenatal care decisions and can improve maternal and neonatal outcomes. However, most existing predictive models are tailored for in-hospital use during labor and rely on parameters that are often unavailable in resource-limited or home-based settings. In this study, we conduct a pilot investigation to examine the feasibility of using 3D body shape for CS risk assessment for future applications with more affordable general devices. We propose a novel multi-view-based Transformer network, MvBody, which predicts CS risk using only self-reported medical data and 3D optical body scans obtained between the 31st and 38th weeks of gestation. To enhance training efficiency and model generalizability in data-scarce environments, we incorporate a metric learning loss into the network. Compared to widely used machine learning models and the latest advanced 3D analysis methods, our method demonstrates superior performance, achieving an accuracy of 84.62% and an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.724 on the independent test set. To improve transparency and trust in the model's predictions, we apply the Integrated Gradients algorithm to provide theoretically grounded explanations of the model's decision-making process. Our results indicate that pre-pregnancy weight, maternal age, obstetric history, previous CS history, and body shape, particularly around the head and shoulders, are key contributors to CS risk prediction.
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