用古希腊德尔斐神谕思想解构区块链预言机可靠性问题
Two thousand years of the oracle problem. Insights from Ancient Delphi on the future of blockchain oracles
- 对比德尔斐神谕与区块链预言机,构建跨时代分析框架
- 167个神谕提问显示:问题类型影响答案质量
- 为提升区块链预言机可信度提供古典智慧参考
预言机问题指代理无法判断来自预言机的信息是否真实无偏。古代哲学家和历史学家曾争论如何评估、提升和保障德尔斐神谕等重要国家事务预言的可靠性。如今,我们称自动机器的数据载体为预言机,但建立预言机与现实世界之间的安全通道仍是重大挑战。尽管有诸多努力,该问题仍基本未解,且区块链预言机因去中心化特性而更加复杂。本文概念性连接德尔斐与现代区块链预言机,构建比较分析框架。结合区块链预言机分类体系,对167个德尔斐提问进行词汇分析,揭示预言回答质量与问题类型的关系。该框架旨在揭示古典与计算预言机的共性,并丰富各领域预言机分析。本研究为计算机科学提出基于德尔斐洞见的区块链预言机可靠性改进策略;同时为古典学引入可应用于解读其他古代占卜机制的分析框架。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The oracle problem refers to the inability of an agent to know if the information coming from an oracle is authentic and unbiased. In ancient times, philosophers and historians debated on how to evaluate, increase, and secure the reliability of oracle predictions, particularly those from Delphi, which pertained to matters of state. Today, we refer to data carriers for automatic machines as oracles, but establishing a secure channel between these oracles and the real world still represents a challenge. Despite numerous efforts, this problem remains mostly unsolved, and the recent advent of blockchain oracles has added a layer of complexity because of the decentralization of blockchains. This paper conceptually connects Delphic and modern blockchain oracles, developing a comparative framework. Leveraging blockchain oracle taxonomy, lexical analysis is also performed on 167 Delphic queries to shed light on the relationship between oracle answer quality and question type. The presented framework aims first at revealing commonalities between classical and computational oracles and then at enriching the oracle analysis within each field. This study contributes to the computer science literature by proposing strategies to improve the reliability of blockchain oracles based on insights from Delphi and to classical literature by introducing a framework that can also be applied to interpret and classify other ancient oracular mechanisms.
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