用机器学习和深度学习预测糖尿病患者的心血管疾病风险
Risk Prediction of Cardiovascular Disease for Diabetic Patients with Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques
- 结合机器学习与深度学习模型,处理糖尿病患者的健康数据
- XGBoost和LSTM模型准确率最高达90.5%,召回率100%
- 适合医疗决策支持系统和个性化预防策略研究者
精准预测心血管疾病(CVD)风险对医疗机构至关重要。本研究针对糖尿病患病率上升及其与心脏病的强关联,提出一种基于机器学习(ML)和混合深度学习(DL)方法的糖尿病患者CVD风险预测模型。使用BRFSS数据集,通过去重、缺失值处理、特征分类及主成分分析(PCA)进行预处理。评估了决策树(DT)、随机森林(RF)、K近邻(KNN)、支持向量机(SVM)、AdaBoost、XGBoost等多类机器学习模型,其中XGBoost表现最佳,准确率为0.9050。同时测试了人工神经网络(ANN)、深度神经网络(DNN)、循环神经网络(RNN)、卷积神经网络(CNN)、长短期记忆网络(LSTM)、双向LSTM(BiLSTM)、门控循环单元(GRU)及多种混合模型,部分模型实现完美召回率(1.00),其中LSTM模型准确率达0.9050。研究证明,ML与DL模型在糖尿病患者心血管风险预测中具有显著有效性,可自动化并提升临床决策水平。高准确率与F1分数表明其在个性化风险管理和预防策略中的应用潜力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is crucial for healthcare institutions. This study addresses the growing prevalence of diabetes and its strong link to heart disease by proposing an efficient CVD risk prediction model for diabetic patients using machine learning (ML) and hybrid deep learning (DL) approaches. The BRFSS dataset was preprocessed by removing duplicates, handling missing values, identifying categorical and numerical features, and applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for feature extraction. Several ML models, including Decision Trees (DT), Random Forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), AdaBoost, and XGBoost, were implemented, with XGBoost achieving the highest accuracy of 0.9050. Various DL models, such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Deep Neural Networks (DNN), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), as well as hybrid models combining CNN with LSTM, BiLSTM, and GRU, were also explored. Some of these models achieved perfect recall (1.00), with the LSTM model achieving the highest accuracy of 0.9050. Our research highlights the effectiveness of ML and DL models in predicting CVD risk among diabetic patients, automating and enhancing clinical decision-making. High accuracy and F1 scores demonstrate these models' potential to improve personalized risk management and preventive strategies.
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