用医学知识引导的跨疾病推理,从低剂量CT预测心血管风险
Explainable Cross-Disease Reasoning for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment from Low-Dose Computed Tomography
- 结合肺部发现与医学机制,分步推理心血管风险
- 在肺癌筛查队列中实现0.919的CVD筛查AUC,0.838的死亡预测AUC
- 输出自然语言解释,适合临床可解释性研究者使用
低剂量胸部计算机断层扫描(LDCT)可在一次扫描中捕捉肺部和心脏结构,实现肺部与心血管健康的联合评估。现有方法通常独立建模这两个领域,未显式表征其生理关联。本文提出一种可解释的跨疾病推理框架,用于从LDCT进行心血管风险评估。该框架遵循受限的临床信息路径:提取肺部异常,将跨器官机制基于医学知识进行锚定,并生成带有自然语言解释的心血管预测结果。框架包含四个组件:冻结的肺部风险先验、肺部感知模块、代理推理模块和心脏亚体积特征提取器。它们的输出融合后,整合局部心脏证据与机制级肺部上下文。在国家肺癌筛查试验队列上,该框架在心血管疾病筛查中达到0.919的AUC,对心血管疾病死亡预测最高达0.838,优于心脏专用、单病种及基础模型基线。定向对照实验表明,性能提升并非仅由额外胸腔视觉特征、固定规则传播或单一推理后端造成。因此,该框架为从LDCT进行可审计的跨疾病心血管风险评估提供了有效方案。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT) captures pulmonary and cardiac structures in a single scan, enabling joint assessment of lung and cardiovascular health. Existing approaches typically model these domains independently and do not explicitly represent their physiological interactions. We propose an Explainable Cross-Disease Reasoning Framework for cardiovascular risk assessment from LDCT. The framework follows a constrained clinical-information pathway: it extracts pulmonary findings, grounds cross-organ mechanisms in medical knowledge, and produces a cardiovascular prediction with a natural-language rationale. It combines four components: a frozen lung-risk prior, a pulmonary perception module, an agentic reasoning module, and a cardiac subvolume feature extractor. Their outputs are fused to integrate localized cardiac evidence with mechanism-level pulmonary context. On the National Lung Screening Trial cohort, the framework achieves an AUC of 0.919 for CVD screening and up to 0.838 for CVD mortality prediction, outperforming cardiac-specific, single-disease, and foundation-model baselines. Targeted controls indicate that the gains are not explained by additional thoracic visual features alone, fixed rule propagation, or a single reasoning backend. The proposed framework thus provides an auditable approach to cross-disease cardiovascular risk assessment from LDCT.
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