arXiv:2511.07700cs.LGcs.CV2025-11中稿 · publication at the…被引 1

用校准度评估皮肤癌检测模型公平性,发现主流模型存在过度诊断问题。

On the Role of Calibration in Benchmarking Algorithmic Fairness for Skin Cancer Detection

  • 引入校准度作为公平性评测补充指标,评估预测概率与实际发病率的一致性。
  • 在ISIC 2020和PROVE-AI数据集上,主流模型对不同性别、肤色和年龄群体的校准度不佳。
  • 强调需结合校准与AUROC进行模型审计,适合医疗AI开发者和政策制定者参考。

人工智能(AI)模型在黑色素瘤检测中已达到专家水平,但其临床应用受制于不同人口子群体(如性别、种族、年龄)间的性能差异。以往的基准测试主要依赖基于受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)的公平性指标,无法反映模型预测概率的准确性。本文借鉴临床评估方法,引入校准度作为补充指标,评估预测概率与实际事件发生率的一致性,从而深入揭示子群体偏差。我们评估了ISIC 2020挑战赛第一名模型及其第二、第三名模型在ISIC 2020 Challenge数据集和PROVE-AI数据集上的表现,重点关注由性别、种族(Fitzpatrick皮肤类型)和年龄定义的子群体。结果表明,尽管现有模型提升了判别准确性,但在新数据集上普遍存在过度诊断风险,且校准能力不足。研究强调需采用全面的模型审计策略和广泛元数据收集,以实现公平的AI医疗解决方案。所有代码公开于https://github.com/bdominique/testing_strong_calibration。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial Intelligence (AI) models have demonstrated expert-level performance in melanoma detection, yet their clinical adoption is hindered by performance disparities across demographic subgroups such as gender, race, and age. Previous efforts to benchmark the performance of AI models have primarily focused on assessing model performance using group fairness metrics that rely on the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC), which does not provide insights into a model's ability to provide accurate estimates. In line with clinical assessments, this paper addresses this gap by incorporating calibration as a complementary benchmarking metric to AUROC-based fairness metrics. Calibration evaluates the alignment between predicted probabilities and observed event rates, offering deeper insights into subgroup biases. We assess the performance of the leading skin cancer detection algorithm of the ISIC 2020 Challenge on the ISIC 2020 Challenge dataset and the PROVE-AI dataset, and compare it with the second and third place models, focusing on subgroups defined by sex, race (Fitzpatrick Skin Tone), and age. Our findings reveal that while existing models enhance discriminative accuracy, they often over-diagnose risk and exhibit calibration issues when applied to new datasets. This study underscores the necessity for comprehensive model auditing strategies and extensive metadata collection to achieve equitable AI-driven healthcare solutions. All code is publicly available at https://github.com/bdominique/testing_strong_calibration.

皮肤癌检测公平性评估校准度医疗AI

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