arXiv:2511.09045cs.CV2025-11被引 1

提出USF-Net模型,提升地面云图序列外推的精度与效率。

USF-Net: A Unified Spatiotemporal Fusion Network for Ground-Based Remote Sensing Cloud Image Sequence Extrapolation

  • 采用自适应大卷积核和低复杂度注意力机制,动态提取多尺度时空特征。
  • 在ASCI-CIS数据集上,预测精度显著优于现有方法,计算开销更低。
  • 适合光伏系统短期功率预测、气象监测等需要高效云图外推的场景。

地面遥感云图像序列外推是光伏系统发展中的关键研究方向。现有方法存在三大局限:(1)主要依赖静态卷积核增强特征,缺乏动态调整分辨率的能力;(2)时间引导不足,难以建模长时序时空依赖;(3)注意力机制二次计算成本常被忽略,影响实际部署效率。为此,本文提出统一时空融合网络USF-Net,融合自适应大卷积核与低复杂度注意力机制,在编码器-解码器框架中整合时间流信息。编码器包含三层基础结构,随后通过USTM模块实现:(1)含状态空间模型(SSM)的SiB,动态捕捉多尺度上下文信息;(2)含时间注意力模块(TAM)的TiB,高效建模长程时间依赖。此外,引入具有时间引导模块(TGM)的DSM,实现统一的时序引导时空建模。解码器采用DUM模块,以初始时间状态作为注意力算子,缓解常见“鬼影效应”。核心贡献还包括发布并开源ASCI-CIS数据集。在该数据集上的大量实验表明,USF-Net显著优于当前最优方法,实现了预测精度与计算效率的更优平衡。代码与数据集将公开于https://github.com/she1110/ASI-CIS。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Ground-based remote sensing cloud image sequence extrapolation is a key research area in the development of photovoltaic power systems. However, existing approaches exhibit several limitations:(1)they primarily rely on static kernels to augment feature information, lacking adaptive mechanisms to extract features at varying resolutions dynamically;(2)temporal guidance is insufficient, leading to suboptimal modeling of long-range spatiotemporal dependencies; and(3)the quadratic computational cost of attention mechanisms is often overlooked, limiting efficiency in practical deployment. To address these challenges, we propose USF-Net, a Unified Spatiotemporal Fusion Network that integrates adaptive large-kernel convolutions and a low-complexity attention mechanism, combining temporal flow information within an encoder-decoder framework. Specifically, the encoder employs three basic layers to extract features. Followed by the USTM, which comprises:(1)a SiB equipped with a SSM that dynamically captures multi-scale contextual information, and(2)a TiB featuring a TAM that effectively models long-range temporal dependencies while maintaining computational efficiency. In addition, a DSM with a TGM is introduced to enable unified modeling of temporally guided spatiotemporal dependencies. On the decoder side, a DUM is employed to address the common "ghosting effect." It utilizes the initial temporal state as an attention operator to preserve critical motion signatures. As a key contribution, we also introduce and release the ASI-CIS dataset. Extensive experiments on ASI-CIS demonstrate that USF-Net significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods, establishing a superior balance between prediction accuracy and computational efficiency for ground-based cloud extrapolation. The dataset and source code will be available at https://github.com/she1110/ASI-CIS.

云图外推时空建模光伏预测轻量化

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