arXiv:2511.09290cs.LGq-bio.NC2025-11

预测时长决定模型能否学出结构化表示

Prediction horizon shapes representations in predictive learning

  • 通过调整预测时长,改变学习问题的内在结构
  • 时长越长,模型越能还原任务的潜在几何特征
  • 适用于理解自监督学习中表征生成机制的研究者

预测学习已成为跨数据领域建模的核心范式,常被视为现代人工智能的基础。尽管普遍认为准确预测需捕捉环境动态以形成结构化世界模型,但预测学习并非总能产生此类表示,其机制尚不清晰。本文识别出预测时长是预测学习目标中关键但常被忽略的要素。我们理论和实证表明,延长预测时长会从根本上重塑学习问题的有效结构。在最小化设置中,模型的隐式偏好与这一结构变化相互作用,成功恢复了任务的潜在几何结构。该现象在非线性架构和复杂数据集上亦成立。研究为预测学习中结构化表征的出现提供了原理性解释,并明确了其适用条件。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Predictive learning has emerged as a central paradigm for training models across diverse data domains and is increasingly viewed as a foundation for modern artificial intelligence. A common intuition for this success is that accurate prediction requires models to capture the underlying dynamics of the environment, leading to the emergence of structured world models. However, predictive learning does not universally yield such representations, and a mechanistic account of when and why it does remains incomplete. In this work, we identify the prediction horizon as a critical, but often implicit, component of predictive learning objectives. We show that increasing the prediction horizon fundamentally shapes the effective structure of the learning problem. In a minimal setting, we demonstrate both theoretically and empirically that the model's implicit biases interact with this structural change to recover the latent geometry of the task. We then extend these empirical results to nonlinear architectures and more complex datasets, where similar phenomena persist. These findings provide a principled explanation for the emergence of structured representations in predictive learning paradigms and clarify the conditions under which such representations should be expected.

表征学习预测学习自监督

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