用深度学习解决动态未知的跳跃马尔可夫系统状态估计问题
Filtering Jump Markov Systems with Partially Known Dynamics: A Model-Based Deep Learning Approach
- 双循环网络联合训练,一个预测模式,一个基于增强卡尔曼网络过滤
- 在高噪声和非平稳环境下性能超越经典滤波器与纯数据驱动模型
- 对初始条件和参数不敏感,适合复杂系统长期状态估计
本文提出跳变马尔可夫滤波网络(JMFNet),一种面向未知噪声统计与模式转移动力学的跳跃马尔可夫系统实时状态估计的新型模型驱动深度学习框架。采用由两个循环神经网络(RNN)组成的混合架构:一个用于模式预测,另一个基于近期提出的卡尔曼网(KalmanNet)改进的模式增强型滤波器。两个RNN通过交替最小二乘策略联合训练,实现无隐模式监督下的相互适应。在线性与非线性系统(包括目标跟踪、摆角追踪、洛伦兹吸引子动力学及真实数据集)上的大量数值实验表明,所提框架优于经典模型基滤波器(如交互多模型、粒子滤波)以及模型无关的深度学习基线,尤其在非平稳与高噪声场景中表现更优。同时,相较于卡尔曼网,JMFNet虽仅略有提升,但在复杂系统或长轨迹中优势显著。最后实证验证该方法性能稳定可靠,对初始条件、超参数选择及错误模型知识均表现出低敏感性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper presents the Jump Markov Filtering Network (JMFNet), a novel model-based deep learning framework for real-time state-state estimation in jump Markov systems with unknown noise statistics and mode transition dynamics. A hybrid architecture comprising two Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) is proposed: one for mode prediction and another for filtering that is based on a mode-augmented version of the recently presented KalmanNet architecture. The proposed RNNs are trained jointly using an alternating least squares strategy that enables mutual adaptation without supervision of the latent modes. Extensive numerical experiments on linear and nonlinear systems, including target tracking, pendulum angle tracking, Lorenz attractor dynamics, and a real-life dataset demonstrate that the proposed JMFNet framework outperforms classical model-based filters (e.g., interacting multiple models and particle filters) as well as model-free deep learning baselines, particularly in non-stationary and high-noise regimes. It is also showcased that JMFNet achieves a small yet meaningful improvement over the KalmanNet framework, which becomes much more pronounced in complicated systems or long trajectories. Finally, the method's performance is empirically validated to be consistent and reliable, exhibiting low sensitivity to initial conditions, hyperparameter selection, as well as to incorrect model knowledge
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