通过多原型对齐提升个体治疗效应估计的准确性与鲁棒性
PITE: Multi-Prototype Alignment for Individual Treatment Effect Estimation
- 用相似个体的聚类中心定义原型,实现组内局部结构捕捉
- 跨治疗组原型在隐空间中对齐,减少分布偏移并提升估计精度
- 适用于需要精准个体化决策的医疗或政策评估场景
从观察数据中估计个体治疗效应(ITE)面临混杂偏差挑战。现有方法多采用全局分布平衡,忽视个体异质性和自然聚类结构,导致估计性能下降。尽管实例级对齐方法考虑了异质性,仍忽略局部结构信息。为此,本文提出端到端的多原型对齐方法(PITE),有效捕捉组内局部结构,并促进跨组对齐。首先基于相同处理下相似个体定义原型作为聚类中心;通过实例到原型匹配将个体分配至最近原型,设计多原型对齐策略使不同处理组的匹配原型在隐空间中靠近。PITE不仅通过细粒度原型级对齐降低分布偏移,还保留了处理组与对照组的局部结构,为ITE估计提供有效约束。在基准数据集上的大量实验表明,PITE超越13种先进方法,实现了更准确、更鲁棒的ITE估计。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Estimating Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) from observational data is challenging due to confounding bias. Most studies tackle this bias by balancing distributions globally, but ignore individual heterogeneity and fail to capture the local structure that represents the natural clustering among individuals, which ultimately compromises ITE estimation. While instance-level alignment methods consider heterogeneity, they similarly overlook the local structure information. To address these issues, we propose an end-to-end Multi-\textbf{P}rototype alignment method for \textbf{ITE} estimation (\textbf{PITE}). PITE effectively captures local structure within groups and enforces cross-group alignment, thereby achieving robust ITE estimation. Specifically, we first define prototypes as cluster centroids based on similar individuals under the same treatment. To identify local similarity and the distribution consistency, we perform instance-to-prototype matching to assign individuals to the nearest prototype within groups, and design a multi-prototype alignment strategy to encourage the matched prototypes to be close across treatment arms in the latent space. PITE not only reduces distribution shift through fine-grained, prototype-level alignment, but also preserves the local structures of treated and control groups, which provides meaningful constraints for ITE estimation. Extensive evaluations on benchmark datasets demonstrate that PITE outperforms 13 state-of-the-art methods, achieving more accurate and robust ITE estimation.
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