arXiv:2511.10853cs.AIcs.HC2025-11

用AI多智能体系统从碎片数据重建车祸前场景,准确率达100%

Advanced Assistance for Traffic Crash Analysis: An AI-Driven Multi-Agent Approach to Pre-Crash Reconstruction

  • 分两阶段:先生成自然语言事故还原,再结合EDR信号推理车辆行为
  • 在4155次测试中准确率100%,3种模型输出一致,依赖结构化提示
  • 无需专业训练的研究员也能达92.3%准确率,适合交通事故分析人员

交通碰撞重建传统依赖人工,预碰撞阶段更难。本研究提出多智能体AI框架,从碎片化碰撞数据重构预碰撞场景并推断车辆行为。基于2017至2022年碰撞调查抽样系统(CISS)的277起追尾事故数据,融合叙述报告、结构化表格变量与场景图。第一阶段从多模态输入生成自然语言事故还原;第二阶段结合还原结果与事件数据记录仪(EDR)信号,识别撞击与被撞车辆,并定位碰撞时刻最相关的EDR记录,实现关键预碰撞行为推断。验证时评估全部LVD案例,重点分析39个复杂案例(每起事故含多个冲突或缺失的EDR记录)。真实标签由两名独立人工标注者共识确定,另用语言模型仅用于标记潜在冲突供复核。框架在4155次测试中达到100%准确率;三种推理模型输出一致,表明性能由结构化提示驱动而非模型选择。无重建训练的研究员在39个复杂案例中亦达92.31%准确率。消融实验显示,移除结构化推理锚点使案级准确率从99.7%降至96.5%,多维度错误增加。系统在输入不全时仍保持稳健。该零样本评估未进行领域特定训练或微调,表明其具备可扩展的AI辅助预碰撞分析潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traffic collision reconstruction traditionally relies on human expertise and can be accurate, but pre-crash reconstruction is more challenging. This study develops a multi-agent AI framework that reconstructs pre-crash scenarios and infers vehicle behaviors from fragmented collision data. We propose a two-phase collaborative framework with reconstruction and reasoning stages. The system processes 277 rear-end lead vehicle deceleration (LVD) crashes from the Crash Investigation Sampling System (CISS, 2017 to 2022), integrating narrative reports, structured tabular variables, and scene diagrams. Phase I generates natural-language crash reconstructions from multimodal inputs. Phase II combines these reconstructions with Event Data Recorder (EDR) signals to (1) identify striking and struck vehicles and (2) isolate the EDR records most relevant to the collision moment, enabling inference of key pre-crash behaviors. For validation, we evaluated all LVD cases and emphasized 39 complex crashes where multiple EDR records per crash created ambiguity due to missing or conflicting data. Ground truth was set by consensus of two independent manual annotators, with a separate language model used only to flag potential conflicts for re-checking. The framework achieved 100% accuracy across 4,155 trials; three reasoning models produced identical outputs, indicating that performance is driven by the structured prompts rather than model choice. Research analysts without reconstruction training achieved 92.31% accuracy on the same 39 complex cases. Ablation tests showed that removing structured reasoning anchors reduced case-level accuracy from 99.7% to 96.5% and increased errors across multiple output dimensions. The system remained robust under incomplete inputs. This zero-shot evaluation, without domain-specific training or fine-tuning, suggests a scalable approach for AI-assisted pre-crash analysis.

车祸重建多智能体EDR分析AI辅助

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