提出可学习时延的轨迹预测模型,让系统更真实地模拟行为反应延迟。
Reverberation: Learning the Latencies Before Forecasting Trajectories
- 引入可学习的回声核,显式建模个体对事件的响应时延
- 在多数据集上实现媲美先进方法的预测精度
- 适用于行人与车辆,支持交互与非交互场景的时延分析
连接时空中的主体以预测未来轨迹是轨迹预测的核心挑战。尽管已有大量研究,但如何显式学习并预测主体对轨迹变化事件的响应间隔(即时延)仍困难重重。不同主体对同一事件的感知、处理和反应时延各不相同。忽略时延会破坏预测系统的因果连续性,导致不合理轨迹。受声学回声启发,本文提出一种回声变换及对应的Reverberation(Rev)模型,通过两个可学习的回声核,同时预测个体时延偏好及其随机波动,实现对非交互与社交时延的条件化、可控预测。在多个数据集(包括行人与车辆)上的实验表明,Rev在保持竞争力精度的同时,揭示了跨主体与场景的可解释时延动态。定性分析进一步验证了回声变换的特性,凸显其作为通用时延建模方法的潜力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Bridging the past to the future, connecting agents both spatially and temporally, lies at the core of the trajectory prediction task. Despite great efforts, it remains challenging to explicitly learn and predict latencies, i.e., response intervals or temporal delays with which agents respond to various trajectory-changing events and adjust their future paths, whether on their own or interactively. Different agents may exhibit distinct latency preferences for noticing, processing, and reacting to a specific trajectory-changing event. The lack of consideration of such latencies may undermine the causal continuity of forecasting systems, leading to implausible or unintended trajectories. Inspired by reverberation in acoustics, we propose a new reverberation transform and the corresponding Reverberation (short for Rev) trajectory prediction model, which predicts both individual latency preferences and their stochastic variations accordingly, by using two explicit and learnable reverberation kernels, enabling latency-conditioned and controllable trajectory prediction of both non-interactive and social latencies. Experiments on multiple datasets, whether pedestrians or vehicles, demonstrate that Rev achieves competitive accuracy while revealing interpretable latency dynamics across agents and scenarios. Qualitative analyses further verify the properties of the reverberation transform, highlighting its potential as a general latency modeling approach.
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