arXiv:2511.11613cs.CEcs.LG2025-11

用物理神经网络加速管道可靠性分析,降低计算成本。

Physics-Informed Neural Network-based Reliability Analysis of Buried Pipelines

  • 构建物理约束的神经网络替代传统数值模拟,实现快速预测。
  • 相比传统方法,计算效率提升显著,适用于低概率失效评估。
  • 适合地质灾害多发区的管道安全评估与快速决策。

埋地油气管道在地质灾害多发区域面临地动带来的应变需求和结构失效风险。可靠性分析需考虑不确定性因素,估算失效概率,是保障系统安全的关键。但传统方法依赖高成本的数值模拟(如有限元分析),且蒙特卡洛模拟需大量重复计算,难以应用。本文提出物理信息神经网络可靠性分析(PINN-RA)框架,将基于物理信息的神经网络代理模型与蒙特卡洛模拟结合,用于地动作用下埋地管道的高效可靠性评估。通过求解不同土性参数下的管道-土壤耦合微分方程组,扩展了代理模型对不确定性的适应能力。结果表明,该方法大幅减少计算量,避免重复数值计算,为地质灾害易发区提供了高效、可扩展的可靠性评估工具,支持快速决策。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Buried pipelines transporting oil and gas across geohazard-prone regions are exposed to potential ground movement, leading to the risk of significant strain demand and structural failure. Reliability analysis, which determines the probability of failure after accounting for pertinent uncertainties, is essential for ensuring the safety of pipeline systems. However, traditional reliability analysis methods involving computationally intensive numerical models, such as finite element simulations of pipeline subjected to ground movement, have limited applications; this is partly because stochastic sampling approaches require repeated simulations over a large number of samples for the uncertain variables when estimating low probabilities. This study introduces Physics-Informed Neural Network for Reliability Analysis (PINN-RA) for buried pipelines subjected to ground movement, which integrates PINN-based surrogate model with Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) to achieve efficient reliability assessment. To enable its application under uncertain variables associated with soil properties and ground movement, the PINN-based surrogate model is extended to solve a parametric differential equation system, namely the governing equation of pipelines embedded in soil with different properties. The findings demonstrate that PINN-RA significantly reduces the computational effort required and thus accelerates reliability analysis. By eliminating the need for repetitive numerical evaluations of pipeline subjected to permanent ground movement, the proposed approach provides an efficient and scalable tool for pipeline reliability assessment, enabling rapid decision-making in geohazard-prone regions.

可靠性分析物理神经网络管道安全

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