小词典搭配预训练,让时序模型性能大幅提升
Small Vocabularies, Big Gains: Pretraining and Tokenization in Time Series Models
- 用小规模词典配合量化设计,提升时序表征能力
- 预训练模型在小词典下表现更优,误差更低
- 适合多模态时序预测,共享词典提升效率
令牌化与迁移学习是构建先进时序基础模型的关键。本文系统研究了令牌化设计(特别是缩放和量化策略)对模型性能的影响,以及预训练与随机初始化的差异。通过实证实验与理论分析发现,令牌化配置主要决定模型的表征能力和稳定性,而迁移学习影响优化效率与对齐程度。预训练模型能更有效利用精心设计的令牌化,尤其在小词典规模下表现突出;反之,不匹配的令牌化会削弱甚至逆转预训练优势。结果表明,在需跨模态共享词典的多模态时序预测中,结合小而高效的词典与预训练权重尤为有利。研究为连续信号的离散表示学习中的令牌化设计与迁移学习应用提供了具体指导。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Tokenization and transfer learning are two critical components in building state of the art time series foundation models for forecasting. In this work, we systematically study the effect of tokenizer design, specifically scaling and quantization strategies, on model performance, alongside the impact of pretraining versus random initialization. We show that tokenizer configuration primarily governs the representational capacity and stability of the model, while transfer learning influences optimization efficiency and alignment. Using a combination of empirical training experiments and theoretical analyses, we demonstrate that pretrained models consistently leverage well-designed tokenizers more effectively, particularly at smaller vocabulary sizes. Conversely, misaligned tokenization can diminish or even invert the benefits of pretraining. These findings highlight the importance of careful tokenization in time series modeling and suggest that combining small, efficient vocabularies with pretrained weights is especially advantageous in multi-modal forecasting settings, where the overall vocabulary must be shared across modalities. Our results provide concrete guidance for designing tokenizers and leveraging transfer learning in discrete representation learning for continuous signals.
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