arXiv:2511.11652cs.LG2025-11

减少城市气象站数量仍可保持高精度气温湿度估算

How many stations are sufficient? Exploring the effect of urban weather station density reduction on imputation accuracy of air temperature and humidity

  • 逐步移除站点,评估不同密度下气候数据还原能力
  • 42站减至4站,温湿度预测误差仅上升20%和16%
  • 城乡交界处站点对全域气候重建最关键,适合资源优化研究

城市气象站网络(WSNs)广泛用于监测城市天气与气候,支持城市规划。但维护成本高昂。本文以德国弗莱堡为例,采用分步移除策略,模拟降低站点密度,并分析子集网络在一年内对原始全网气温与湿度模式的重构能力。结果表明,大幅减少站点数后仍可保持较高预测精度:从42站降至4站时,气温均方根误差(RMSE)由0.69 K升至0.83 K,湿度相对误差由3.8%升至4.4%,增幅分别仅20%和16%。偏远森林区站点表现较差,但整体优于主流城市地表能量水循环模型(Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme)。位于建成区与乡村交界处的站点对城市尺度气候特征重建最具价值。研究证明,通过合理稀疏化可显著提升城市气候研究的资源利用效率。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Urban weather station networks (WSNs) are widely used to monitor urban weather and climate patterns and aid urban planning. However, maintaining WSNs is expensive and labor-intensive. Here, we present a step-wise station removal procedure to thin an existing WSN in Freiburg, Germany, and analyze the ability of WSN subsets to reproduce air temperature and humidity patterns of the entire original WSN for a year following a simulated reduction of WSN density. We found that substantial reductions in station numbers after one year of full deployment are possible while retaining high predictive accuracy. A reduction from 42 to 4 stations, for instance, increased mean prediction RMSEs from 0.69 K to 0.83 K for air temperature and from 3.8% to 4.4% for relative humidity, corresponding to RMSE increases of only 20% and 16%, respectively. Predictive accuracy is worse for remote stations in forests than for stations in built-up or open settings, but consistently better than a state-of-the-art numerical urban land-surface model (Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme). Stations located at the edges between built-up and rural areas are most valuable when reconstructing city-wide climate characteristics. Our study demonstrates the potential of thinning WSNs to maximize the efficient allocation of financial and personnel-related resources in urban climate research.

气象站优化城市气候数据稀疏化温度湿度建模

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