arXiv:2511.13701cs.LG2025-11

无需假设模型形式,直接从数据中学习系统内在噪声的非参数方法。

Learning stochasticity: a nonparametric framework for intrinsic noise estimation

  • 基于核函数设计三阶段算法,自动捕捉状态依赖的噪声变化。
  • 在生物与生态系统的基准测试中表现接近理想观测者水平。
  • 适合研究基因调控网络等复杂系统中的随机性机制。

理解动态系统的基本原理是生物学和生态学等多个领域的核心挑战。由于对非线性相互作用和随机效应认识不足,自下而上的建模常难以奏效,促使人们发展直接从数据中发现控制方程的方法。传统参数化模型在缺乏先验知识时表现不佳,尤其在估计内在噪声方面。然而,引入随机效应对于理解基因调控网络和信号通路等复杂系统的动态行为至关重要。为此,我们提出 Trine(Three-phase Regression for INtrinsic noisE),一种非参数、基于核函数的框架,可从时间序列数据中推断状态依赖的内在噪声。Trine 采用三阶段算法,结合解析可解子问题与结构化核架构,能够同时捕捉突发的噪声驱动波动与平滑的状态相关方差变化。我们在生物与生态系统上验证了 Trine,证明其可在不依赖预设参数假设的情况下揭示隐藏动力学。在多个基准问题中,Trine 的性能与理想观测者(能直接追踪细胞内分子浓度或反应事件的随机波动)相当。该框架为理解内在噪声如何影响复杂系统行为提供了新路径。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Understanding the principles that govern dynamical systems is a central challenge across many scientific domains, including biology and ecology. Incomplete knowledge of nonlinear interactions and stochastic effects often renders bottom-up modeling approaches ineffective, motivating the development of methods that can discover governing equations directly from data. In such contexts, parametric models often struggle without strong prior knowledge, especially when estimating intrinsic noise. Nonetheless, incorporating stochastic effects is often essential for understanding the dynamic behavior of complex systems such as gene regulatory networks and signaling pathways. To address these challenges, we introduce Trine (Three-phase Regression for INtrinsic noisE), a nonparametric, kernel-based framework that infers state-dependent intrinsic noise from time-series data. Trine features a three-stage algorithm that com- bines analytically solvable subproblems with a structured kernel architecture that captures both abrupt noise-driven fluctuations and smooth, state-dependent changes in variance. We validate Trine on biological and ecological systems, demonstrating its ability to uncover hidden dynamics without relying on predefined parametric assumptions. Across several benchmark problems, Trine achieves performance comparable to that of an oracle. Biologically, this oracle can be viewed as an idealized observer capable of directly tracking the random fluctuations in molecular concentrations or reaction events within a cell. The Trine framework thus opens new avenues for understanding how intrinsic noise affects the behavior of complex systems.

噪声估计非参数动态系统生物建模

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。