arXiv:2511.14853cs.AI2025-11被引 1

提出不确定性感知方法,量化自动驾驶场景数据对真实运行环境的代表性。

Uncertainty-Aware Measurement of Scenario Suite Representativeness for Autonomous Systems

  • 用概率方法比较场景数据与目标运行域特征分布,考虑真实分布未知。
  • 基于不精确贝叶斯,输出区间化代表程度估计,而非单一数值。
  • 适用于评估自动驾驶数据集在不同天气、道路类型等条件下的覆盖可靠性。

确保人工智能系统(如自动驾驶车辆)的可信性与安全性,关键在于训练与测试所用数据集的数据安全属性,如代表性、完整性等。本文聚焦于代表性——即用于训练与测试的基于场景的数据,是否充分反映系统设计安全运行的运行设计域(ODD)或预期遇到的目标运行域(TOD)。我们提出一种概率方法,通过比较场景集特征编码的统计分布与代表TOD的特征分布来量化代表性。由于真实TOD分布无法完全获取(仅能从有限数据推断),我们采用不精确贝叶斯方法处理数据有限与先验不确定的问题。该方法生成区间值、带不确定性的代表性估计,而非单一数值。通过数值示例,我们在天气、道路类型、时段等操作类别下,对比场景集与推断出的TOD分布,分别估算局部(类别间)与全局的代表性区间。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Assuring the trustworthiness and safety of AI systems, e.g., autonomous vehicles (AV), depends critically on the data-related safety properties, e.g., representativeness, completeness, etc., of the datasets used for their training and testing. Among these properties, this paper focuses on representativeness-the extent to which the scenario-based data used for training and testing, reflect the operational conditions that the system is designed to operate safely in, i.e., Operational Design Domain (ODD) or expected to encounter, i.e., Target Operational Domain (TOD). We propose a probabilistic method that quantifies representativeness by comparing the statistical distribution of features encoded by the scenario suites with the corresponding distribution of features representing the TOD, acknowledging that the true TOD distribution is unknown, as it can only be inferred from limited data. We apply an imprecise Bayesian method to handle limited data and uncertain priors. The imprecise Bayesian formulation produces interval-valued, uncertainty-aware estimates of representativeness, rather than a single value. We present a numerical example comparing the distributions of the scenario suite and the inferred TOD across operational categories-weather, road type, time of day, etc., under dependencies and prior uncertainty. We estimate representativeness locally (between categories) and globally as an interval.

自动驾驶数据评估不确定性建模

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