arXiv:2511.16207cs.LG2025-11

用物理一致的扩散模型生成核能关键热流数据,解决实验数据少难题。

Towards Overcoming Data Scarcity in Nuclear Energy: A Study on Critical Heat Flux with Physics-consistent Conditional Diffusion Model

  • 构建条件扩散模型,按指定工况生成真实且符合物理规律的临界热流数据。
  • 生成数据能准确复现实测特征分布与配对相关性,保持物理一致性。
  • 适合核能安全仿真、数据匮乏场景下的机器学习建模应用。

深度生成模型为克服能源领域实验数据稀缺问题提供了强大路径,因实验数据常受限于成本或获取难度。通过学习训练数据的概率分布,扩散模型(DM)可生成高保真度的合成样本,显著扩充数据规模与多样性,并提升下游机器学习模型在预测任务中的鲁棒性。本文研究了扩散模型在核能应用中缓解数据稀缺的有效性。基于涵盖多种商用反应堆运行工况的临界热流(CHF)公开数据集,我们开发了可生成任意数量合成样本的扩散模型。针对普通扩散模型仅能随机生成的问题,进一步提出条件扩散模型,实现用户指定热工水力条件下目标数据的生成。模型性能通过捕捉经验特征分布、成对相关性及物理一致性进行评估。结果表明,两者均能生成真实且物理一致的CHF数据。同时开展不确定性量化,证实条件扩散模型在数据增强中有效,且不确定性处于可接受水平。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Deep generative modeling provides a powerful pathway to overcome data scarcity in energy-related applications where experimental data are often limited, costly, or difficult to obtain. By learning the underlying probability distribution of the training dataset, deep generative models, such as the diffusion model (DM), can generate high-fidelity synthetic samples that statistically resemble the training data. Such synthetic data generation can significantly enrich the size and diversity of the available training data, and more importantly, improve the robustness of downstream machine learning models in predictive tasks. The objective of this paper is to investigate the effectiveness of DM for overcoming data scarcity in nuclear energy applications. By leveraging a public dataset on critical heat flux (CHF) that cover a wide range of commercial nuclear reactor operational conditions, we developed a DM that can generate an arbitrary amount of synthetic samples for augmenting of the CHF dataset. Since a vanilla DM can only generate samples randomly, we also developed a conditional DM capable of generating targeted CHF data under user-specified thermal-hydraulic conditions. The performance of the DM was evaluated based on their ability to capture empirical feature distributions and pair-wise correlations, as well as to maintain physical consistency. The results showed that both the DM and conditional DM can successfully generate realistic and physics-consistent CHF data. Furthermore, uncertainty quantification was performed to establish confidence in the generated data. The results demonstrated that the conditional DM is highly effective in augmenting CHF data while maintaining acceptable levels of uncertainty.

扩散模型核能安全数据生成物理一致性

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