arXiv:2511.17990cs.AIcs.GT2025-11

用买卖谈判游戏量化评估大模型的人类行为模仿与策略决策能力。

How Far Can LLMs Emulate Human Behavior?: A Strategic Analysis via the Buy-and-Sell Negotiation Game

  • 设计买家卖家角色模拟谈判,分析胜负率与交易价格。
  • 高基准分模型整体表现更好,但情感情境下性能下降。
  • 狡诈策略比合作更有效,证明角色设定影响谈判结果。

随着大语言模型(LLMs)的快速发展,研究关注其不仅限于问答任务,还能处理复杂对话并模仿人类行为。然而,现有基准主要聚焦知识评估,难以反映社交互动与战略对话能力。为此,本文提出一种基于买卖谈判模拟的量化评估方法,为多个LLM分配不同人格角色,分析胜率、成交价格及SHAP值等指标。实验表明,基准分数较高的模型总体谈判表现更优,但在强调情感或社会情境时表现减弱。竞争性与策略性人格比利他与合作型更有利于谈判结果,说明人格设定显著影响策略选择与成效。本研究建立了一种评估大模型社会行为模仿与对话策略的新范式,证明谈判模拟可作为现有基准的重要补充,衡量真实交互能力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

With the rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs), recent studies have drawn attention to their potential for handling not only simple question-answer tasks but also more complex conversational abilities and performing human-like behavioral imitations. In particular, there is considerable interest in how accurately LLMs can reproduce real human emotions and behaviors, as well as whether such reproductions can function effectively in real-world scenarios. However, existing benchmarks focus primarily on knowledge-based assessment and thus fall short of sufficiently reflecting social interactions and strategic dialogue capabilities. To address these limitations, this work proposes a methodology to quantitatively evaluate the human emotional and behavioral imitation and strategic decision-making capabilities of LLMs by employing a Buy and Sell negotiation simulation. Specifically, we assign different personas to multiple LLMs and conduct negotiations between a Buyer and a Seller, comprehensively analyzing outcomes such as win rates, transaction prices, and SHAP values. Our experimental results show that models with higher existing benchmark scores tend to achieve better negotiation performance overall, although some models exhibit diminished performance in scenarios emphasizing emotional or social contexts. Moreover, competitive and cunning traits prove more advantageous for negotiation outcomes than altruistic and cooperative traits, suggesting that the assigned persona can lead to significant variations in negotiation strategies and results. Consequently, this study introduces a new evaluation approach for LLMs' social behavior imitation and dialogue strategies, and demonstrates how negotiation simulations can serve as a meaningful complementary metric to measure real-world interaction capabilities-an aspect often overlooked in existing benchmarks.

行为模仿谈判模拟策略决策

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