arXiv:2511.19548cs.LGcs.AI2025-11

神经数据如何合法用于政策决策?需满足三重验证条件。

When Should Neural Data Inform Welfare? A Critical Framework for Policy Uses of Neuroeconomics

  • 构建神经-计算-福利三层映射框架,明确推理路径
  • 仅当模型验证充分时,神经信号才能约束福利判断
  • 适用于监管者与神经人工智能系统设计者

神经经济学承诺以神经和计算证据为基础,分析人们如何评估结果、从经验中学习及自我控制。然而,政策与商业机构越来越多地引用神经数据来支持家长式监管、'基于大脑'的干预措施和新型福利指标。本文探讨在何种条件下神经数据可合法用于政策层面的福利判断,而非仅描述行为。提出一个非实证的、基于模型的框架,连接神经信号、计算决策模型与规范性福利标准。在演员-评论家强化学习模型中,形式化从神经活动到潜在价值与预测误差的推断路径,并进一步推导出福利结论。研究表明,神经证据仅在神经-计算映射得到充分验证、决策模型能区分‘真实利益’与情境性错误、且福利标准明确陈述并被辩护的情况下,才可约束福利判断。将该框架应用于成瘾、神经营销与环境政策,提出了适用于监管者与神经人工智能系统设计者的《神经经济学福利推断检查清单》。分析认为,无论是生物还是人工代理,大脑与智能体都是价值学习系统,内部奖励信号仅为计算量,无法直接作为福利度量,除非有明确的规范性模型支撑。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Neuroeconomics promises to ground welfare analysis in neural and computational evidence about how people value outcomes, learn from experience and exercise self-control. At the same time, policy and commercial actors increasingly invoke neural data to justify paternalistic regulation, "brain-based" interventions and new welfare measures. This paper asks under what conditions neural data can legitimately inform welfare judgements for policy rather than merely describing behaviour. I develop a non-empirical, model-based framework that links three levels: neural signals, computational decision models and normative welfare criteria. Within an actor-critic reinforcement-learning model, I formalise the inference path from neural activity to latent values and prediction errors and then to welfare claims. I show that neural evidence constrains welfare judgements only when the neural-computational mapping is well validated, the decision model identifies "true" interests versus context-dependent mistakes, and the welfare criterion is explicitly specified and defended. Applying the framework to addiction, neuromarketing and environmental policy, I derive a Neuroeconomic Welfare Inference Checklist for regulators and for designers of NeuroAI systems. The analysis treats brains and artificial agents as value-learning systems while showing that internal reward signals, whether biological or artificial, are computational quantities and cannot be treated as welfare measures without an explicit normative model.

神经经济学政策应用强化学习福利判断

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