D-CTNet通过双分支结构与频域校正,提升工业多变量时间序列预测精度与鲁棒性。
D-CTNet: A Dual-Branch Channel-Temporal Forecasting Network with Frequency-Domain Correction
- 双分支并行设计分离通道时序与变量相关性学习
- 频域校正机制有效缓解环境变化带来的分布偏移
- 适用于复杂工业系统协同感知与数字孪生场景
准确的多变量时间序列(MTS)预测对复杂系统协同设计、数字孪生构建和提前维护至关重要。然而,协同工业环境为MTS预测模型带来新挑战:需解耦复杂的变量间依赖关系,并应对环境变化引发的非平稳分布偏移。为此,我们提出基于分块的双分支通道-时序预测网络(D-CTNet)。通过并行双分支结构结合线性时序建模层与通道注意力机制,模型显式解耦并联合学习通道内时序演化模式与动态多变量相关性。此外,全局分块注意力融合模块超越局部窗口范围,建模长程依赖。最重要的是,针对非平稳性,提出的频域平稳性校正机制通过谱对齐自适应抑制环境变化带来的分布偏移影响。在七个基准数据集上的评估表明,该模型在预测精度与鲁棒性方面优于现有先进方法。本工作展现出作为工业协同系统新型预测引擎的巨大潜力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for collaborative design of complex systems, Digital Twin building, and maintenance ahead of time. However, the collaborative industrial environment presents new challenges for MTS forecasting models: models should decouple complex inter-variable dependencies while addressing non-stationary distribution shift brought by environmental changes. To address these challenges and improve collaborative sensing reliability, we propose a Patch-Based Dual-Branch Channel-Temporal Forecasting Network (D-CTNet). Particularly, with a parallel dual-branch design incorporating linear temporal modeling layer and channel attention mechanism, our method explicitly decouples and jointly learns intra-channel temporal evolution patterns and dynamic multivariate correlations. Furthermore, a global patch attention fusion module goes beyond the local window scope to model long range dependencies. Most importantly, aiming at non-stationarity, a Frequency-Domain Stationarity Correction mechanism adaptively suppresses distribution shift impacts from environment change by spectrum alignment. Evaluations on seven benchmark datasets show that our model achieves better forecasting accuracy and robustness compared with state-of-the-art methods. Our work shows great promise as a new forecasting engine for industrial collaborative systems.
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